Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v Falkirk

Saturday 13 March 2027, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 30

Forecast

HibernianFalkirk
Expected goals1.641.00
Win52%22%
Expected Points1.810.93
Clean sheet37%19%

Hibernian 52%Draw 26%Falkirk 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Falkirk goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L1–217 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.35–0.74
  2. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  3. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  4. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  5. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  6. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86

Falkirk

  1. W2–117 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.74–1.35
  2. L1–210 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–1.41
  3. D1–119 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.29–0.94
  4. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  5. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  6. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianFalkirk
Position12th9th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠62–⁠3–⁠4
Points7 (0.78 per game)9 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.380.98
Goals9–⁠149–⁠12
xG per game1.56–⁠1.551.12–⁠1.78
Home: points, xG per game0.20, 1.52–⁠1.340.75, 1.42–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.811.20, 0.88–⁠1.93
ManagerMarink Reedijk (2)John McGlynn (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.32, 5thFalkirk1.18, 7thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.28, 4thFalkirk1.44, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32Falkirk attack: 1.181.321.18FalkirkHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.28Falkirk defence: 1.441.441.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianFalkirk
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%−2%−9%+29%
Counter-attacks−22%−8%−84%−28%
Set pieces+5%−15%−53%+32%
Penalties+71%+14%−43%−100%
Headers−42%+2%−61%−44%
Left side−12%−3%−48%+11%
Centre−26%+6%−34%+15%
Right side+16%−28%average+43%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdFalkirk concededLeft side−12%+43%Centre−26%+15%Right side+16%+11%Open play−15%+29%Counter-attacks−22%−28%Set pieces+5%+32%Headers−42%−44%

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdHibernian concededLeft side−48%−28%Centre−34%+6%Right sideaverage−3%Open play−9%−2%Counter-attacks−84%−8%Set pieces−53%−15%Headers−61%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianFalkirk

1.56xG1.12
1.55xG against1.78
53%Possession46%
16.4Shots11.4
13.0Shots against16.0
4.2Shots on target3.3
2.0Big chances1.4
31.3Touches in the opposition box23.2
459Passes396
81%Pass accuracy76%
6.8Corners4.3
55%Field tilt49%
44.7Final-third entries38.5
15.0Box entries9.8
14.7Passes per defensive action12.6

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.081.72
Ahead151.552.02
Behind431.911.25

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.431.47
Ahead281.091.92
Behind240.652.12

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.091–2
16–300.180.202–2
31–450.280.411–6
46–600.290.282–0
61–750.280.162–1
76–900.370.401–3

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.153–3
16–300.080.410–2
31–450.260.363–1
46–600.110.211–1
61–750.210.312–0
76–900.290.340–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 9Kerr 9Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Ivezić 2Obita 4Iredale 2Abdulai 1Passlack 6Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 9Chaiwa 6Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 6Wright 1Iredale 1Elding 3Boyle 3Šuto 1Lowe 4Boyle 2Šuto 2Klidje 4McGrath 2Boyle 13-4-3 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 9Strain 9Neilson 7Meļņiks 2Henderson 9McCann 7Tanser 2Barbrook 8McMillan 1Spencer 7Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 6Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 7Yeats 2Eames 5Ross 2Fodrey 1Murrell 6Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 October 2026Hibernian1–2FalkirkxG 1.35–0.74
9 May 2026Falkirk1–3HibernianxG 0.63–1.10
24 January 2026Falkirk4–1HibernianxG 3.64–0.73
6 December 2025Hibernian3–0FalkirkxG 2.02–0.49
23 September 2025Falkirk2–2HibernianxG 1.18–2.43

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 2, Falkirk won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 10–9 and xG 1.53–1.34 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle6505300.550.20
Passlack8734020.070.26
Mayor6539100.060.15
Mulligan9795010.130.08

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murrell6470400.600.03
Strain9810040.070.16
Barbrook8675000.110.09
Ross8647110.090.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.