Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Falkirk v Celtic

Sunday 1 November 2026, 13:00 · The Falkirk Stadium · Round 12

Forecast

FalkirkCeltic
Expected goals0.892.08
Win15%64%
Expected Points0.652.14
Clean sheet12%41%

Falkirk 15%Draw 21%Celtic 64%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 52%.

Celtic goalsFalkirk goals0123456+0123456+6%8%4%2%4%7%4%1%2%4%4%3%2%1%1%10%11%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Falkirk

  1. W2–117 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.74–1.35
  2. L1–210 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–1.41
  3. D1–119 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.29–0.94
  4. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  5. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  6. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57

Celtic

  1. W7–118 OctHearts (H)xG 4.23–1.20
  2. W2–011 OctMotherwell (A)xG 2.85–1.10
  3. L0–120 SepRangers (H)xG 0.39–1.81
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.80–0.69
  5. W2–15 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.19–1.95
  6. W3–02 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.67–0.68

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

FalkirkCeltic
Position9th1st
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠3–⁠48–⁠0–⁠1
Points9 (1.00 per game)24 (2.67 per game)
Expected Points per game0.982.31
Goals9–⁠1223–⁠5
xG per game1.12–⁠1.782.93–⁠1.05
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.42–⁠1.582.40, 2.60–⁠0.95
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 0.88–⁠1.933.00, 3.33–⁠1.18
ManagerJohn McGlynn (47)Martin O'Neill (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackFalkirk1.18, 7thCeltic2.17, 1stDefence (lower is better)Falkirk1.44, 8thCeltic0.88, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctFalkirk attack: 1.18Celtic attack: 2.172.171.18CelticFalkirkDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctFalkirk defence: 1.44Celtic defence: 0.881.440.88

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

FalkirkCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%+29%+121%−48%
Counter-attacks−84%−28%+195%−35%
Set pieces−53%+32%−8%+5%
Penalties−43%−100%−100%−43%
Headers−61%−44%+164%−27%
Left side−48%+11%+159%−62%
Centre−34%+15%+87%−13%
Right sideaverage+43%+61%−42%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdCeltic concededLeft side−48%−42%Centre−34%−13%Right sideaverage−62%Open play−9%−48%Counter-attacks−84%−35%Set pieces−53%+5%Headers−61%−27%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdFalkirk concededLeft side+159%+43%Centre+87%+15%Right side+61%+11%Open play+121%+29%Counter-attacks+195%−28%Set pieces−8%+32%Headers+164%−44%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

FalkirkCeltic

1.12xG2.93
1.78xG against1.05
46%Possession60%
11.4Shots20.3
16.0Shots against11.9
3.3Shots on target9.2
1.4Big chances5.2
23.2Touches in the opposition box38.2
396Passes605
76%Pass accuracy88%
4.3Corners9.0
49%Field tilt68%
38.5Final-third entries62.3
9.8Box entries24.5
12.6Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.431.47
Ahead281.091.92
Behind240.652.12

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level242.231.23
Ahead573.340.98
Behind102.161.05

xG by period

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.153–3
16–300.080.410–2
31–450.260.363–1
46–600.110.211–1
61–750.210.312–0
76–900.290.340–5

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.126–0
16–300.400.251–1
31–450.710.247–2
46–600.570.076–1
61–750.310.202–1
76–900.540.161–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 9Strain 9Neilson 7Meļņiks 2Henderson 9McCann 7Tanser 2Barbrook 8McMillan 1Spencer 7Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 6Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 7Yeats 2Eames 5Ross 2Fodrey 1Murrell 6Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSinisalo 8Johnstone 1Donovan 6Johnston 2Carter-Vickers 1Carter-Vickers 5Murray 3Trusty 6Scales 4Tierney 6Scales 3McGregor 8Baur 6Oxlade-Chamberlain 2Engels 2Hassan 5Durán 3McCowan 1Nygren 7Donovan 1Sørensen 1Yang 5Tounekti 2Nygren 1Durán 5Høgh 44-2-3-1 in 7 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-4-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
29 August 2026Celtic2–1FalkirkxG 3.45–0.57
25 April 2026Celtic3–1FalkirkxG 1.11–0.92
1 February 2026Celtic2–0FalkirkxG 0.66–1.07
14 January 2026Falkirk0–1CelticxG 1.72–0.62
29 October 2025Celtic4–0FalkirkxG 4.29–0.47

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Falkirk won 0, Celtic won 5, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–12 and xG 0.95–2.03 per game.

Key players

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murrell6470400.600.03
Strain9810040.070.16
Barbrook8675000.110.09
Ross8647110.090.10

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nygren8654630.730.23
Durán8591550.560.33
Tierney6459130.310.44
Baur6550100.290.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.