Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Aberdeen v Hibernian

Saturday 7 November 2026, 17:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 13

Forecast

AberdeenHibernian
Expected goals1.271.26
Win36%36%
Expected Points1.371.35
Clean sheet28%28%

Aberdeen 36%Draw 28%Hibernian 36%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%9%6%3%9%8%3%1%6%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W3–117 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.83–1.03
  2. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  3. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  4. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  5. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  6. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67

Hibernian

  1. L1–217 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.35–0.74
  2. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  3. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  4. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  5. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  6. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenHibernian
Position7th12th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠42–⁠1–⁠6
Points11 (1.22 per game)7 (0.78 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.38
Goals10–⁠109–⁠14
xG per game1.24–⁠1.551.56–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game1.40, 1.63–⁠1.430.20, 1.52–⁠1.34
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.75–⁠1.691.50, 1.60–⁠1.81
ManagerStephen Robinson (18)Marink Reedijk (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.15, 9thHibernian1.32, 5thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44, 7thHibernian1.28, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen attack: 1.15Hibernian attack: 1.321.321.15HibernianAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen defence: 1.44Hibernian defence: 1.281.441.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−43%−16%−15%−2%
Counter-attacks−68%+11%−22%−8%
Set pieces+42%−14%+5%−15%
Penalties+14%+71%+71%+14%
Headers+49%−31%−42%+2%
Left side−57%+2%−12%−3%
Centre−18%−39%−26%+6%
Right side−10%+19%+16%−28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side−57%−28%Centre−18%+6%Right side−10%−3%Open play−43%−2%Counter-attacks−68%−8%Set pieces+42%−15%Headers+49%+2%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side−12%+19%Centre−26%−39%Right side+16%+2%Open play−15%−16%Counter-attacks−22%+11%Set pieces+5%−14%Headers−42%−31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenHibernian

1.24xG1.56
1.55xG against1.55
46%Possession53%
12.1Shots16.4
15.6Shots against13.0
3.3Shots on target4.2
1.8Big chances2.0
21.9Touches in the opposition box31.3
385Passes459
77%Pass accuracy81%
5.7Corners6.8
42%Field tilt55%
38.6Final-third entries44.7
12.5Box entries15.0
14.0Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.391.54
Ahead191.071.41
Behind341.171.64

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.081.72
Ahead151.552.02
Behind431.911.25

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.191–3
16–300.110.261–0
31–450.120.371–4
46–600.300.152–1
61–750.150.311–2
76–900.520.264–0

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.091–2
16–300.180.202–2
31–450.280.411–6
46–600.290.282–0
61–750.280.162–1
76–900.370.401–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 9Cadden 8Lyons 1Mayo 7Milne 2Knoester 5Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 8Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Lyons 2Aremu 8Briedl 2Marshall 3Smith 2Yogane 1Olusanya 3Mouloua 2Ntelo 1Nisbet 9Yogane 35-3-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 9Kerr 9Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Ivezić 2Obita 4Iredale 2Abdulai 1Passlack 6Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 9Chaiwa 6Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 6Wright 1Iredale 1Elding 3Boyle 3Šuto 1Lowe 4Boyle 2Šuto 2Klidje 4McGrath 2Boyle 13-4-3 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026Hibernian1–1AberdeenxG 1.40–0.70
11 April 2026Aberdeen2–0HibernianxG 1.93–0.10
30 December 2025Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.64–0.57
26 October 2025Aberdeen1–2HibernianxG 1.24–3.20
26 April 2025Aberdeen1–0HibernianxG 0.83–0.93
1 February 2025Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.60–0.48

24 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 8, Hibernian won 11, and 5 were drawn. Goals 28–35 and xG 1.28–1.41 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet9722510.590.03
Armstrong3456000.030.23
Mayo7561010.220.00
Olusanya6572000.100.05

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle6505300.550.20
Passlack8734020.070.26
Mayor6539100.060.15
Mulligan9795010.130.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.