Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Falkirk v St. Johnstone

Saturday 21 November 2026, 15:00 · The Falkirk Stadium · Round 14

Forecast

FalkirkSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.541.03
Win49%25%
Expected Points1.721.01
Clean sheet36%21%

Falkirk 49%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

St. Johnstone goalsFalkirk goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%2%2%2%1%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Falkirk

  1. W2–117 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.74–1.35
  2. L1–210 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–1.41
  3. D1–119 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.29–0.94
  4. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  5. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  6. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–117 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–1.02
  2. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  3. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  4. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  5. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  6. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

FalkirkSt. Johnstone
Position9th5th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠3–⁠43–⁠3–⁠3
Points9 (1.00 per game)12 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game0.981.21
Goals9–⁠1211–⁠11
xG per game1.12–⁠1.781.32–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.42–⁠1.581.60, 1.45–⁠1.33
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 0.88–⁠1.931.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerJohn McGlynn (47)Simo Valakari (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackFalkirk1.18, 7thSt. Johnstone1.08, 12thDefence (lower is better)Falkirk1.44, 8thSt. Johnstone1.52, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctFalkirk attack: 1.18St. Johnstone attack: 1.081.181.08St. JohnstoneFalkirkDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctFalkirk defence: 1.44St. Johnstone defence: 1.521.521.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

FalkirkSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%+29%−26%average
Counter-attacks−84%−28%−50%−11%
Set pieces−53%+32%−18%+1%
Penalties−43%−100%+71%−43%
Headers−61%−44%−17%+29%
Left side−48%+11%−14%+7%
Centre−34%+15%−18%−10%
Right sideaverage+43%−58%+5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−48%+5%Centre−34%−10%Right sideaverage+7%Open play−9%averageCounter-attacks−84%−11%Set pieces−53%+1%Headers−61%+29%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdFalkirk concededLeft side−14%+43%Centre−18%+15%Right side−58%+11%Open play−26%+29%Counter-attacks−50%−28%Set pieces−18%+32%Headers−17%−44%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

FalkirkSt. Johnstone

1.12xG1.32
1.78xG against1.52
46%Possession46%
11.4Shots10.0
16.0Shots against14.0
3.3Shots on target3.6
1.4Big chances2.2
23.2Touches in the opposition box18.2
396Passes432
76%Pass accuracy79%
4.3Corners3.3
49%Field tilt49%
38.5Final-third entries39.7
9.8Box entries10.9
12.6Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.431.47
Ahead281.091.92
Behind240.652.12

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.631.53
Ahead250.841.58
Behind211.251.44

xG by period

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.153–3
16–300.080.410–2
31–450.260.363–1
46–600.110.211–1
61–750.210.312–0
76–900.290.340–5

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.141–1
16–300.250.183–1
31–450.260.291–2
46–600.330.282–4
61–750.130.201–1
76–900.200.433–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 9Strain 9Neilson 7Meļņiks 2Henderson 9McCann 7Tanser 2Barbrook 8McMillan 1Spencer 7Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 6Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 7Yeats 2Eames 5Ross 2Fodrey 1Murrell 6Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 9Smith 6Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 3Diabate 8Foulds 1Alić 7Foulds 2McAlear 8Stanton 1Holt 9Stanton 5Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 3Paton 2Gullan 2Steven 4Paton 3Gullan 2Fowler 8Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026St. Johnstone1–1FalkirkxG 0.94–1.29

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Falkirk won 0, St. Johnstone won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–1 and xG 1.29–0.94 per game.

Key players

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murrell6470400.600.03
Strain9810040.070.16
Barbrook8675000.110.09
Ross8647110.090.10

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler8603610.570.05
Paton5452100.420.05
Alić7630110.070.18
Stanton7627010.090.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.