Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v Falkirk

Saturday 28 November 2026, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 15

Forecast

RangersFalkirk
Expected goals2.360.78
Win72%10%
Expected Points2.340.48
Clean sheet46%9%

Rangers 72%Draw 18%Falkirk 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Falkirk goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%8%3%4%1%7%3%6%4%2%3%2%2%1%10%12%9%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

Falkirk

  1. W2–117 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.74–1.35
  2. L1–210 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–1.41
  3. D1–119 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.29–0.94
  4. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  5. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  6. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersFalkirk
Position2nd9th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠2–⁠12–⁠3–⁠4
Points20 (2.22 per game)9 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.980.98
Goals13–⁠79–⁠12
xG per game2.13–⁠1.101.12–⁠1.78
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.200.75, 1.42–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game2.20, 1.75–⁠1.031.20, 0.88–⁠1.93
ManagerDerek McInnes (9)John McGlynn (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.90, 2ndFalkirk1.18, 7thDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.00, 2ndFalkirk1.44, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.90Falkirk attack: 1.181.901.18FalkirkRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 1.00Falkirk defence: 1.441.441.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersFalkirk
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+41%−42%−9%+29%
Counter-attacks+8%+3%−84%−28%
Set pieces+29%−16%−53%+32%
Penalties+14%−43%−43%−100%
Headers+26%−26%−61%−44%
Left side+14%−22%−48%+11%
Centre+56%−28%−34%+15%
Right side+18%−41%average+43%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdFalkirk concededLeft side+14%+43%Centre+56%+15%Right side+18%+11%Open play+41%+29%Counter-attacks+8%−28%Set pieces+29%+32%Headers+26%−44%

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdRangers concededLeft side−48%−41%Centre−34%−28%Right sideaverage−22%Open play−9%−42%Counter-attacks−84%+3%Set pieces−53%−16%Headers−61%−26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersFalkirk

2.13xG1.12
1.10xG against1.78
55%Possession46%
20.2Shots11.4
9.6Shots against16.0
6.6Shots on target3.3
2.8Big chances1.4
38.4Touches in the opposition box23.2
452Passes396
80%Pass accuracy76%
7.2Corners4.3
60%Field tilt49%
47.5Final-third entries38.5
18.6Box entries9.8
11.4Passes per defensive action12.6

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.431.47
Ahead281.091.92
Behind240.652.12

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.153–3
16–300.080.410–2
31–450.260.363–1
46–600.110.211–1
61–750.210.312–0
76–900.290.340–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 9Strain 9Neilson 7Meļņiks 2Henderson 9McCann 7Tanser 2Barbrook 8McMillan 1Spencer 7Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 6Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 7Yeats 2Eames 5Ross 2Fodrey 1Murrell 6Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 September 2026Falkirk1–2RangersxG 1.00–1.57
16 May 2026Falkirk2–5RangersxG 2.46–2.54
12 April 2026Falkirk3–6RangersxG 1.70–3.94
30 November 2025Rangers0–0FalkirkxG 2.24–0.12
5 October 2025Falkirk1–1RangersxG 1.43–1.09

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 3, Falkirk won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 14–7 and xG 2.28–1.34 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murrell6470400.600.03
Strain9810040.070.16
Barbrook8675000.110.09
Ross8647110.090.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.