Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Mirren v Celtic

Sunday 24 January 2027, 15:00 · The Marbill Coaches Stadium · Round 24

Forecast

St. MirrenCeltic
Expected goals0.822.15
Win13%67%
Expected Points0.582.22
Clean sheet12%44%

St. Mirren 13%Draw 20%Celtic 67%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Celtic goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+6%5%2%1%4%7%4%2%2%4%4%3%2%1%1%11%12%8%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

Celtic

  1. W7–118 OctHearts (H)xG 4.23–1.20
  2. W2–011 OctMotherwell (A)xG 2.85–1.10
  3. L0–120 SepRangers (H)xG 0.39–1.81
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.80–0.69
  5. W2–15 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.19–1.95
  6. W3–02 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.67–0.68

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenCeltic
Position8th1st
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠58–⁠0–⁠1
Points10 (1.11 per game)24 (2.67 per game)
Expected Points per game1.092.31
Goals9–⁠1723–⁠5
xG per game1.43–⁠2.012.93–⁠1.05
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.86–⁠2.102.40, 2.60–⁠0.95
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 1.08–⁠1.943.00, 3.33–⁠1.18
ManagerCraig McLeish (18)Martin O'Neill (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.08, 11thCeltic2.17, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.49, 9thCeltic0.88, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctSt. Mirren attack: 1.08Celtic attack: 2.172.171.08CelticSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctSt. Mirren defence: 1.49Celtic defence: 0.881.490.88

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%+1%+121%−48%
Counter-attacks+67%+29%+195%−35%
Set pieces−37%+16%−8%+5%
Penalties+14%+186%−100%−43%
Headers−54%−13%+164%−27%
Left side−17%average+159%−62%
Centre−10%−20%+87%−13%
Right side−17%+62%+61%−42%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side−17%−42%Centre−10%−13%Right side−17%−62%Open play−22%−48%Counter-attacks+67%−35%Set pieces−37%+5%Headers−54%−27%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+159%+62%Centre+87%−20%Right side+61%averageOpen play+121%+1%Counter-attacks+195%+29%Set pieces−8%+16%Headers+164%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenCeltic

1.43xG2.93
2.01xG against1.05
50%Possession60%
13.4Shots20.3
15.4Shots against11.9
3.9Shots on target9.2
2.1Big chances5.2
25.7Touches in the opposition box38.2
448Passes605
81%Pass accuracy88%
4.4Corners9.0
47%Field tilt68%
39.2Final-third entries62.3
14.2Box entries24.5
14.0Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level242.231.23
Ahead573.340.98
Behind102.161.05

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.126–0
16–300.400.251–1
31–450.710.247–2
46–600.570.076–1
61–750.310.202–1
76–900.540.161–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSinisalo 8Johnstone 1Donovan 6Johnston 2Carter-Vickers 1Carter-Vickers 5Murray 3Trusty 6Scales 4Tierney 6Scales 3McGregor 8Baur 6Oxlade-Chamberlain 2Engels 2Hassan 5Durán 3McCowan 1Nygren 7Donovan 1Sørensen 1Yang 5Tounekti 2Nygren 1Durán 5Høgh 44-2-3-1 in 7 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-4-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 September 2026St. Mirren1–2CelticxG 1.95–3.19
11 April 2026Celtic1–0St. MirrenxG 0.94–0.25
22 November 2025St. Mirren0–1CelticxG 1.53–0.88
3 August 2025Celtic1–0St. MirrenxG 1.41–0.23
17 May 2025Celtic1–1St. MirrenxG 2.55–0.20
1 March 2025St. Mirren2–5CelticxG 1.63–3.37

22 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 2, Celtic won 17, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–54 and xG 0.74–2.40 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nygren8654630.730.23
Durán8591550.560.33
Tierney6459130.310.44
Baur6550100.290.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.