Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Motherwell v St. Mirren

Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 12

Forecast

MotherwellSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.710.95
Win55%20%
Expected Points1.890.86
Clean sheet39%18%

Motherwell 55%Draw 25%St. Mirren 20%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

St. Mirren goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%1%5%2%5%1%6%6%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L2–317 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 3.37–1.64
  2. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  3. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  4. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  5. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  6. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellSt. Mirren
Position10th8th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠53–⁠1–⁠5
Points8 (0.89 per game)10 (1.11 per game)
Expected Points per game1.401.09
Goals11–⁠169–⁠17
xG per game1.71–⁠1.851.43–⁠2.01
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.40–⁠1.111.00, 1.86–⁠2.10
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 1.96–⁠2.431.20, 1.08–⁠1.94
ManagerAlfred Johansson (9)Craig McLeish (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackMotherwell1.33, 4thSt. Mirren1.08, 11thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.32, 5thSt. Mirren1.49, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctMotherwell attack: 1.33St. Mirren attack: 1.081.331.08St. MirrenMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctMotherwell defence: 1.32St. Mirren defence: 1.491.491.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+23%+3%−22%+1%
Counter-attacks+12%+74%+67%+29%
Set pieces−48%−11%−37%+16%
Penalties+14%+71%+14%+186%
Headers−41%−13%−54%−13%
Left side−39%−14%−17%average
Centre+9%+1%−10%−20%
Right side+49%+40%−17%+62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−39%+62%Centre+9%−20%Right side+49%averageOpen play+23%+1%Counter-attacks+12%+29%Set pieces−48%+16%Headers−41%−13%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−17%+40%Centre−10%+1%Right side−17%−14%Open play−22%+3%Counter-attacks+67%+74%Set pieces−37%−11%Headers−54%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellSt. Mirren

1.71xG1.43
1.85xG against2.01
57%Possession50%
14.2Shots13.4
16.3Shots against15.4
4.7Shots on target3.9
2.6Big chances2.1
24.9Touches in the opposition box25.7
561Passes448
87%Pass accuracy81%
4.9Corners4.4
59%Field tilt47%
50.8Final-third entries39.2
14.1Box entries14.2
14.8Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level352.001.50
Ahead152.331.42
Behind401.232.32

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.211–3
16–300.420.303–1
31–450.280.252–5
46–600.270.441–4
61–750.240.292–1
76–900.200.362–2

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 9Sparrow 9Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 2Moormann 9Longelo 8Williams 1Fadinger 9Priestman 2Hodge 6Levitt 1Maswanhise 5Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 5Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 5Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 3Maswanhise 2Said 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2026St. Mirren3–3MotherwellxG 2.92–2.45
21 February 2026St. Mirren0–5MotherwellxG 1.00–2.20
3 January 2026Motherwell2–0St. MirrenxG 1.88–0.30
9 August 2025St. Mirren0–0MotherwellxG 1.31–0.53
15 March 2025Motherwell2–2St. MirrenxG 0.67–1.24
7 December 2024St. Mirren0–1MotherwellxG 0.55–1.74

20 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 8, St. Mirren won 3, and 9 were drawn. Goals 28–17 and xG 1.42–1.25 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise7581120.530.15
Lowry7602310.300.23
Longelo9746000.070.28
Said6533100.160.18

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.