Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone v St. Mirren

Wednesday 2 December 2026, 19:45 · McDiarmid Park · Round 16

Forecast

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.381.09
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.571.15
Clean sheet34%25%

St. Johnstone 43%Draw 28%St. Mirren 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%9%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–117 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–1.02
  2. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  3. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  4. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  5. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  6. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Position5th8th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠33–⁠1–⁠5
Points12 (1.33 per game)10 (1.11 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.09
Goals11–⁠119–⁠17
xG per game1.32–⁠1.521.43–⁠2.01
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.45–⁠1.331.00, 1.86–⁠2.10
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠1.771.20, 1.08–⁠1.94
ManagerSimo Valakari (40)Craig McLeish (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.08, 12thSt. Mirren1.08, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.52, 10thSt. Mirren1.49, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 1.08St. Mirren attack: 1.081.081.08St. MirrenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.52St. Mirren defence: 1.491.521.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−26%average−22%+1%
Counter-attacks−50%−11%+67%+29%
Set pieces−18%+1%−37%+16%
Penalties+71%−43%+14%+186%
Headers−17%+29%−54%−13%
Left side−14%+7%−17%average
Centre−18%−10%−10%−20%
Right side−58%+5%−17%+62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−14%+62%Centre−18%−20%Right side−58%averageOpen play−26%+1%Counter-attacks−50%+29%Set pieces−18%+16%Headers−17%−13%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−17%+5%Centre−10%−10%Right side−17%+7%Open play−22%averageCounter-attacks+67%−11%Set pieces−37%+1%Headers−54%+29%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

1.32xG1.43
1.52xG against2.01
46%Possession50%
10.0Shots13.4
14.0Shots against15.4
3.6Shots on target3.9
2.2Big chances2.1
18.2Touches in the opposition box25.7
432Passes448
79%Pass accuracy81%
3.3Corners4.4
49%Field tilt47%
39.7Final-third entries39.2
10.9Box entries14.2
18.3Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.631.53
Ahead250.841.58
Behind211.251.44

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.141–1
16–300.250.183–1
31–450.260.291–2
46–600.330.282–4
61–750.130.201–1
76–900.200.433–2

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 9Smith 6Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 3Diabate 8Foulds 1Alić 7Foulds 2McAlear 8Stanton 1Holt 9Stanton 5Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 3Paton 2Gullan 2Steven 4Paton 3Gullan 2Fowler 8Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 August 2026St. Mirren1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.58–1.17
1 February 2025St. Mirren0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.38–0.51
14 December 2024St. Johnstone2–3St. MirrenxG 0.79–2.08
30 October 2024St. Mirren3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.93–0.73
24 February 2024St. Mirren2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.94–0.70
6 December 2023St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 1.98–1.93

17 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 5, St. Mirren won 8, and 4 were drawn. Goals 16–22 and xG 1.04–1.17 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler8603610.570.05
Paton5452100.420.05
Alić7630110.070.18
Stanton7627010.090.05

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.