Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC v Celtic

Wednesday 2 December 2026, 19:45 · Dens Park · Round 16

Forecast

Dundee FCCeltic
Expected goals0.862.21
Win13%68%
Expected Points0.582.23
Clean sheet11%42%

Dundee FC 13%Draw 20%Celtic 68%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 52%.

Celtic goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+5%5%2%1%4%7%4%2%2%4%4%3%2%1%1%10%11%8%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D2–217 OctRangers (H)xG 1.77–1.80
  2. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  3. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  4. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  5. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  6. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33

Celtic

  1. W7–118 OctHearts (H)xG 4.23–1.20
  2. W2–011 OctMotherwell (A)xG 2.85–1.10
  3. L0–120 SepRangers (H)xG 0.39–1.81
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.80–0.69
  5. W2–15 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.19–1.95
  6. W3–02 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.67–0.68

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCCeltic
Position4th1st
Played99
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠2–⁠38–⁠0–⁠1
Points14 (1.56 per game)24 (2.67 per game)
Expected Points per game1.212.31
Goals13–⁠1023–⁠5
xG per game1.31–⁠1.602.93–⁠1.05
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.62–⁠1.412.40, 2.60–⁠0.95
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.843.00, 3.33–⁠1.18
ManagerSteven Pressley (47)Martin O'Neill (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.13, 10thCeltic2.17, 1stDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.53, 11thCeltic0.88, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.13Celtic attack: 2.172.171.13CelticDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.53Celtic defence: 0.881.530.88

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+16%+121%−48%
Counter-attacks−25%−63%+195%−35%
Set pieces+28%−19%−8%+5%
Penalties−43%+14%−100%−43%
Headers+39%+3%+164%−27%
Left side+14%+18%+159%−62%
Centre−22%−25%+87%−13%
Right side−37%+15%+61%−42%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdCeltic concededLeft side+14%−42%Centre−22%−13%Right side−37%−62%Open play−30%−48%Counter-attacks−25%−35%Set pieces+28%+5%Headers+39%−27%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee FC concededLeft side+159%+15%Centre+87%−25%Right side+61%+18%Open play+121%+16%Counter-attacks+195%−63%Set pieces−8%−19%Headers+164%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCCeltic

1.31xG2.93
1.60xG against1.05
38%Possession60%
12.3Shots20.3
19.1Shots against11.9
4.7Shots on target9.2
2.7Big chances5.2
19.1Touches in the opposition box38.2
336Passes605
73%Pass accuracy88%
4.9Corners9.0
25%Field tilt68%
26.9Final-third entries62.3
9.5Box entries24.5
19.6Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.451.49
Ahead301.211.70
Behind151.091.70

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level242.231.23
Ahead573.340.98
Behind102.161.05

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.151–0
16–300.330.162–1
31–450.200.363–3
46–600.200.173–2
61–750.190.361–1
76–900.330.403–3

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.126–0
16–300.400.251–1
31–450.710.247–2
46–600.570.076–1
61–750.310.202–1
76–900.540.161–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 9D. Wright 8Halliday 1Astley 9O. Bevan 9Odutayo 5Samuels 4J. Bevan 7Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 3Hamilton 9Forrest 4Reilly 4Moorhouse 1Fink 5Hay 2Forrest 1Westley 7Murray 24-4-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSinisalo 8Johnstone 1Donovan 6Johnston 2Carter-Vickers 1Carter-Vickers 5Murray 3Trusty 6Scales 4Tierney 6Scales 3McGregor 8Baur 6Oxlade-Chamberlain 2Engels 2Hassan 5Durán 3McCowan 1Nygren 7Donovan 1Sørensen 1Yang 5Tounekti 2Nygren 1Durán 5Høgh 44-2-3-1 in 7 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-4-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 August 2026Celtic1–0Dundee FCxG 2.26–0.49
5 April 2026Dundee FC1–2CelticxG 1.55–3.82
3 December 2025Celtic1–0Dundee FCxG 2.08–0.21
19 October 2025Dundee FC2–0CelticxG 1.30–2.70
5 February 2025Celtic6–0Dundee FCxG 2.64–0.48
14 January 2025Dundee FC3–3CelticxG 0.66–2.12

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 1, Celtic won 12, and 1 was a draw. Goals 12–43 and xG 0.61–2.89 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
Forrest6531010.080.11
J. Bevan7587110.120.05
D. Wright8727110.020.12

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nygren8654630.730.23
Durán8591550.560.33
Tierney6459130.310.44
Baur6550100.290.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.