Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Mirren v Rangers

Saturday 7 November 2026, 20:00 · The Marbill Coaches Stadium · Round 13

Forecast

St. MirrenRangers
Expected goals0.931.88
Win18%59%
Expected Points0.762.01
Clean sheet15%39%

St. Mirren 18%Draw 23%Rangers 59%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 52%.

Rangers goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+7%7%3%1%5%6%3%1%3%5%5%3%1%2%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenRangers
Position8th2nd
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠56–⁠2–⁠1
Points10 (1.11 per game)20 (2.22 per game)
Expected Points per game1.091.98
Goals9–⁠1713–⁠7
xG per game1.43–⁠2.012.13–⁠1.10
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.86–⁠2.102.25, 2.60–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 1.08–⁠1.942.20, 1.75–⁠1.03
ManagerCraig McLeish (18)Derek McInnes (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.08, 11thRangers1.90, 2ndDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.49, 9thRangers1.00, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Mirren attack: 1.08Rangers attack: 1.901.901.08RangersSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Mirren defence: 1.49Rangers defence: 1.001.491.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%+1%+41%−42%
Counter-attacks+67%+29%+8%+3%
Set pieces−37%+16%+29%−16%
Penalties+14%+186%+14%−43%
Headers−54%−13%+26%−26%
Left side−17%average+14%−22%
Centre−10%−20%+56%−28%
Right side−17%+62%+18%−41%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side−17%−41%Centre−10%−28%Right side−17%−22%Open play−22%−42%Counter-attacks+67%+3%Set pieces−37%−16%Headers−54%−26%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+14%+62%Centre+56%−20%Right side+18%averageOpen play+41%+1%Counter-attacks+8%+29%Set pieces+29%+16%Headers+26%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenRangers

1.43xG2.13
2.01xG against1.10
50%Possession55%
13.4Shots20.2
15.4Shots against9.6
3.9Shots on target6.6
2.1Big chances2.8
25.7Touches in the opposition box38.4
448Passes452
81%Pass accuracy80%
4.4Corners7.2
47%Field tilt60%
39.2Final-third entries47.5
14.2Box entries18.6
14.0Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 September 2026Rangers1–0St. MirrenxG 2.49–1.26
15 March 2026St. Mirren0–1RangersxG 0.19–2.08
30 December 2025Rangers2–1St. MirrenxG 1.89–1.71
24 August 2025St. Mirren1–1RangersxG 1.01–1.56
26 April 2025St. Mirren2–2RangersxG 1.90–1.27
22 February 2025Rangers0–2St. MirrenxG 0.81–1.49

22 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 2, Rangers won 17, and 3 were drawn. Goals 14–47 and xG 0.68–1.95 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.