Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v Aberdeen

Tuesday 24 November 2026, 20:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 12

Forecast

RangersAberdeen
Expected goals2.350.76
Win72%10%
Expected Points2.350.47
Clean sheet47%10%

Rangers 72%Draw 18%Aberdeen 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Aberdeen goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%8%3%4%7%3%6%4%2%3%2%2%1%10%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

Aberdeen

  1. W3–117 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.83–1.03
  2. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  3. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  4. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  5. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  6. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersAberdeen
Position2nd7th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠2–⁠13–⁠2–⁠4
Points20 (2.22 per game)11 (1.22 per game)
Expected Points per game1.981.15
Goals13–⁠710–⁠10
xG per game2.13–⁠1.101.24–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.201.40, 1.63–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game2.20, 1.75–⁠1.031.00, 0.75–⁠1.69
ManagerDerek McInnes (9)Stephen Robinson (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.90, 2ndAberdeen1.15, 9thDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.00, 2ndAberdeen1.44, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.90Aberdeen attack: 1.151.901.15AberdeenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 1.00Aberdeen defence: 1.441.441.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+41%−42%−43%−16%
Counter-attacks+8%+3%−68%+11%
Set pieces+29%−16%+42%−14%
Penalties+14%−43%+14%+71%
Headers+26%−26%+49%−31%
Left side+14%−22%−57%+2%
Centre+56%−28%−18%−39%
Right side+18%−41%−10%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdAberdeen concededLeft side+14%+19%Centre+56%−39%Right side+18%+2%Open play+41%−16%Counter-attacks+8%+11%Set pieces+29%−14%Headers+26%−31%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRangers concededLeft side−57%−41%Centre−18%−28%Right side−10%−22%Open play−43%−42%Counter-attacks−68%+3%Set pieces+42%−16%Headers+49%−26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersAberdeen

2.13xG1.24
1.10xG against1.55
55%Possession46%
20.2Shots12.1
9.6Shots against15.6
6.6Shots on target3.3
2.8Big chances1.8
38.4Touches in the opposition box21.9
452Passes385
80%Pass accuracy77%
7.2Corners5.7
60%Field tilt42%
47.5Final-third entries38.6
18.6Box entries12.5
11.4Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.391.54
Ahead191.071.41
Behind341.171.64

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.191–3
16–300.110.261–0
31–450.120.371–4
46–600.300.152–1
61–750.150.311–2
76–900.520.264–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 9Cadden 8Lyons 1Mayo 7Milne 2Knoester 5Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 8Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Lyons 2Aremu 8Briedl 2Marshall 3Smith 2Yogane 1Olusanya 3Mouloua 2Ntelo 1Nisbet 9Yogane 35-3-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2026Aberdeen0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.10
21 March 2026Rangers4–1AberdeenxG 1.61–0.68
11 January 2026Aberdeen0–2RangersxG 0.32–1.94
6 January 2026Rangers2–0AberdeenxG 1.81–1.05
11 May 2025Rangers4–0AberdeenxG 2.60–0.57
13 April 2025Aberdeen2–2RangersxG 2.44–1.18

22 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 15, Aberdeen won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 46–19 and xG 2.06–0.93 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet9722510.590.03
Armstrong3456000.030.23
Mayo7561010.220.00
Olusanya6572000.100.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.