Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC 2–2 Rangers

Saturday 17 October 2026, 20:00 · Dens Park · Round 9 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Duncan Nicolson · Attendance 9,048

Dundee FC Fink 37', Jones 69'

Rangers Bouanani 42', Raskin 60'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCRangers
Goals22
xG1.771.80
Expected Points1.381.35

Dundee FC 37%Draw 27%Rangers 36%

Most likely score 2–2, 12%. Final score 2–2, 12%.

Rangers goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+1%2%2%1%4%5%2%5%6%2%2%5%5%3%1%1%1%11%9%11%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG. How Expected Points work.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTHarrison on for J. Bevan, 66'Curtis on for Bouanani and Kelsy on for Kim, 76'Fink 37'Jones 69'Bouanani 42'Raskin 60'Rangers 1.80Dundee FC 1.7700.511.520153045607590HTHarrison on for J. Bevan, 66'Curtis on for Bouanani and Kelsy on for Kim, 76'Fink 37'Jones 69'Bouanani 42'Raskin 60'1.801.77Dundee FCRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCRangers

1.77 +0.51xG1.80 −0.37
1.55 +0.26xG on target2.25 +0.69
10 −3Shots21 +1
6 +1.5Shots on target9 +2.8
4 +1.5Big chances2 −0.9
19 0Touches in the opposition box41 +3
40% +2Possession60% +5
332 −4Passes469 +20
74% +1Pass accuracy82% +2
3 −2.1Corners6 −1.4
13 −1Tackles18 +1
10 +1.0Interceptions4 −4.5
42 +4Clearances28 +4
7 +3.1Saves4 +1.8
13 +2Fouls10 −4
2 +1.1Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Hay 28', 0.47 xGO. Bevan 28', 0.15 xGFink 59', 0.11 xGForrest 13', 0.04 xGAstley 22', 0.02 xGHamilton 35', 0.02 xGAstley 28', 0.01 xGHamilton 90+2', 0.01 xGFink 37', 0.70 xG, goalJones 69', 0.23 xG, goal66%1.17 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.17 xG, 1 goal28%0.49 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.49 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals4%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Neil 74', 0.38 xGBouanani 51', 0.22 xGNeil 31', 0.21 xGCurtis 90', 0.11 xGKim 42', 0.10 xGGassama 62', 0.09 xGKim 8', 0.08 xGPenrice 40', 0.06 xGNaderi 67', 0.06 xGBouanani 62', 0.05 xGFernandez 90+3', 0.05 xGBouanani 42', 0.04 xGGassama 56', 0.04 xGPenrice 83', 0.04 xGNeil 88', 0.04 xGCurtis 90+1', 0.04 xGKim 50', 0.03 xGKim 51', 0.03 xGGassama 90+1', 0.02 xGBouanani 42', 0.12 xG, goalRaskin 60', 0.02 xG, goal24%0.43 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals40%0.72 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.72 xG, 0 goals15%0.27 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals21%0.38 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.38 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCRangers

1.01 5 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.64 17 shots, 2 goals
0.76 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.16 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
79 min (85%) · Dundee FC 1.54, Rangers 1.29 xG
Dundee FC ahead
5 min (5%) · Dundee FC 0.00, Rangers 0.32 xG
Rangers ahead
9 min (10%) · Dundee FC 0.23, Rangers 0.19 xG

Line-ups

175412274828141121GoodmanD. WrightO. BevanAstleySamuelsJ. BevanHamiltonJonesForrestHayFinkYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal66'Dundee FC 4-4-2Steven Pressley12137242943261062320PandurSterlingFernandezMakhanyaPenriceRaskinBouananiKimNeilGassamaNaderiYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal76'76'Rangers 4-1-4-1Derek McInnes

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 66' Harrison for J. Bevan

Rangers substitutes

  • 76' Curtis for Bouanani
  • 76' Kelsy for Kim

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
GoodmanGK900.000.0003
D. WrightRB900.000.3005
O. BevanCB900.150.00013
AstleyCB900.030.01115
SamuelsLB900.000.0108
J. BevanRM660.000.0003
Hamilton CM900.030.2223
JonesCM9010.230.0919
ForrestLM900.040.0103
Hay ST900.470.0314
FinkST9010.820.0201
HarrisonFW240.000.0015

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
PandurGK900.000.0110
Sterling RB900.000.1316
FernandezCB900.050.01016
MakhanyaCB900.000.01113
PenriceLB900.100.0115
Raskin DM9010.020.0522
BouananiRM7610.430.0813
KimCM760.230.1430
NeilCM9010.630.0622
GassamaLM900.150.1811
NaderiST900.060.0314
CurtisMF140.140.0200
KelsyFW140.000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions).

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.12 → 1.13Rangers1.92 → 1.89Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.54 → 1.53Rangers0.97 → 1.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six41%45%+4
11th10%8%−2
Bottom8%7%−1
Rangers
Title27%23%−4
Celtic
Title72%76%+4
Hibernian
Top six42%40%−2
11th7%8%+1
Bottom5%5%0

From the forecast before the match (17 October 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points. How the forecasts work.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCRangers
Expected goals0.941.98
Win17%61%
Expected Points0.722.05
Clean sheet14%39%

Dundee FC 17%Draw 22%Rangers 61%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 53%.

Rangers goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+6%7%3%1%5%7%3%1%2%5%5%3%2%1%1%1%10%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawRangers win
Dundee FC
Top six41%56%45%36%
11th10%6%8%11%
Bottom8%3%7%10%
Rangers
Title27%19%23%31%
Celtic
Title72%80%76%69%
Hibernian
Top six42%40%40%44%
11th7%7%8%7%
Bottom5%6%5%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCRangers
Position4th2nd
Played88
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠1–⁠36–⁠1–⁠1
Points13 (1.62 per game)19 (2.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.192.06
Goals11–⁠811–⁠5
xG per game1.26–⁠1.572.17–⁠1.02
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.58–⁠1.312.25, 2.60–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.842.50, 1.73–⁠0.84
ManagerSteven Pressley (46)Derek McInnes (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.12, 9thRangers1.92, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.54, 10thRangers0.97, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.12Rangers attack: 1.921.921.12RangersDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.54Rangers defence: 0.971.540.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−33%+11%+40%−47%
Counter-attacks−16%−58%+22%+16%
Set pieces+19%−12%+43%−32%
Penalties−38%+24%+24%−38%
Headers+30%+18%+46%−48%
Left side+5%+24%+19%−11%
Centre−28%−35%+58%−35%
Right side−29%+21%+24%−59%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRangers concededLeft side+5%−59%Centre−28%−35%Right side−29%−11%Open play−33%−47%Counter-attacks−16%+16%Set pieces+19%−32%Headers+30%−48%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdDundee FC concededLeft side+19%+21%Centre+58%−35%Right side+24%+24%Open play+40%+11%Counter-attacks+22%−58%Set pieces+43%−12%Headers+46%+18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCRangers

1.26xG2.17
1.57xG against1.02
38%Possession55%
12.6Shots20.1
18.9Shots against9.5
4.5Shots on target6.2
2.5Big chances2.9
19.1Touches in the opposition box38.1
336Passes449
73%Pass accuracy80%
5.1Corners7.4
25%Field tilt60%
26.9Final-third entries47.5
9.5Box entries18.6
19.6Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Unavailable

Dundee FC

PlayerReasonExpected backStartsMin
RobertsonInjuryOut for season1229
WalesInjuryLate October 20261187
WestleyInjuryLate October 20267537
MurrayInjuryOut for season2125

Rangers

PlayerReasonExpected backStartsMin
McCrorieInjuryEarly November 2026069
DevlinInjuryEarly November 20264335
YokotaInjuryLate October 20261116
ShanklandInjuryEarly December 20265364
ChermitiInjuryLate April 2027180
CifuentesInjuryMid October 202600

Injured, suspended, and otherwise unavailable players as listed before the match, with their league starts and minutes this season.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 January 2026Rangers3–0Dundee FCxG 2.51–0.24
9 November 2025Dundee FC0–3RangersxG 0.43–0.85
9 August 2025Rangers1–1Dundee FCxG 1.97–0.34
29 March 2025Dundee FC3–4RangersxG 2.97–2.70
9 January 2025Dundee FC1–1RangersxG 1.02–0.65
21 December 2024Rangers1–0Dundee FCxG 3.47–0.11

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Rangers won 10, and 3 were drawn. Goals 9–32 and xG 0.88–2.46 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.