Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v St. Johnstone

Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 10

Forecast

RangersSt. Johnstone
Expected goals2.490.71
Win76%8%
Expected Points2.430.41
Clean sheet49%8%

Rangers 76%Draw 16%St. Johnstone 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

St. Johnstone goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%3%1%8%3%9%3%7%3%7%5%2%3%2%2%1%10%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Rangers
Title17%18%12%9%
St. Johnstone
Top six25%22%29%43%
11th15%15%13%11%
Bottom18%20%14%8%
Celtic
Title83%81%88%91%
Aberdeen
Top six38%39%35%33%
11th10%10%11%11%
Bottom8%8%9%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–117 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–1.02
  2. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  3. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  4. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  5. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  6. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersSt. Johnstone
Position2nd5th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠2–⁠13–⁠3–⁠3
Points20 (2.22 per game)12 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.981.21
Goals13–⁠711–⁠11
xG per game2.13–⁠1.101.32–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.201.60, 1.45–⁠1.33
Away: points, xG per game2.20, 1.75–⁠1.031.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerDerek McInnes (9)Simo Valakari (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.90, 2ndSt. Johnstone1.08, 12thDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.00, 2ndSt. Johnstone1.52, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.90St. Johnstone attack: 1.081.901.08St. JohnstoneRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 1.00St. Johnstone defence: 1.521.521.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+41%−42%−26%average
Counter-attacks+8%+3%−50%−11%
Set pieces+29%−16%−18%+1%
Penalties+14%−43%+71%−43%
Headers+26%−26%−17%+29%
Left side+14%−22%−14%+7%
Centre+56%−28%−18%−10%
Right side+18%−41%−58%+5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+14%+5%Centre+56%−10%Right side+18%+7%Open play+41%averageCounter-attacks+8%−11%Set pieces+29%+1%Headers+26%+29%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRangers concededLeft side−14%−41%Centre−18%−28%Right side−58%−22%Open play−26%−42%Counter-attacks−50%+3%Set pieces−18%−16%Headers−17%−26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersSt. Johnstone

2.13xG1.32
1.10xG against1.52
55%Possession46%
20.2Shots10.0
9.6Shots against14.0
6.6Shots on target3.6
2.8Big chances2.2
38.4Touches in the opposition box18.2
452Passes432
80%Pass accuracy79%
7.2Corners3.3
60%Field tilt49%
47.5Final-third entries39.7
18.6Box entries10.9
11.4Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.631.53
Ahead250.841.58
Behind211.251.44

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.141–1
16–300.250.183–1
31–450.260.291–2
46–600.330.282–4
61–750.130.201–1
76–900.200.433–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 9Smith 6Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 3Diabate 8Foulds 1Alić 7Foulds 2McAlear 8Stanton 1Holt 9Stanton 5Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 3Paton 2Gullan 2Steven 4Paton 3Gullan 2Fowler 8Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 January 2025Rangers3–1St. JohnstonexG 3.03–0.43
1 December 2024St. Johnstone0–1RangersxG 0.15–1.73
6 October 2024Rangers2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.57–0.36
18 February 2024St. Johnstone0–3RangersxG 0.21–2.96
20 December 2023Rangers2–0St. JohnstonexG 3.14–0.09
16 September 2023St. Johnstone0–2RangersxG 0.32–2.02

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 14, St. Johnstone won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 33–5 and xG 1.92–0.45 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler8603610.570.05
Paton5452100.420.05
Alić7630110.070.18
Stanton7627010.090.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.