Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone v Dundee FC

Saturday 7 November 2026, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 13

Forecast

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Expected goals1.421.15
Win43%30%
Expected Points1.561.17
Clean sheet32%24%

St. Johnstone 43%Draw 28%Dundee FC 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–117 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–1.02
  2. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  3. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  4. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  5. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  6. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07

Dundee FC

  1. D2–217 OctRangers (H)xG 1.77–1.80
  2. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  3. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  4. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  5. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  6. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Position5th4th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠34–⁠2–⁠3
Points12 (1.33 per game)14 (1.56 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.21
Goals11–⁠1113–⁠10
xG per game1.32–⁠1.521.31–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.45–⁠1.331.60, 1.62–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠1.771.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerSimo Valakari (40)Steven Pressley (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.08, 12thDundee FC1.13, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.52, 10thDundee FC1.53, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 1.08Dundee FC attack: 1.131.131.08Dundee FCSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.52Dundee FC defence: 1.531.531.52

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−26%average−30%+16%
Counter-attacks−50%−11%−25%−63%
Set pieces−18%+1%+28%−19%
Penalties+71%−43%−43%+14%
Headers−17%+29%+39%+3%
Left side−14%+7%+14%+18%
Centre−18%−10%−22%−25%
Right side−58%+5%−37%+15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee FC concededLeft side−14%+15%Centre−18%−25%Right side−58%+18%Open play−26%+16%Counter-attacks−50%−63%Set pieces−18%−19%Headers−17%+3%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+14%+5%Centre−22%−10%Right side−37%+7%Open play−30%averageCounter-attacks−25%−11%Set pieces+28%+1%Headers+39%+29%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneDundee FC

1.32xG1.31
1.52xG against1.60
46%Possession38%
10.0Shots12.3
14.0Shots against19.1
3.6Shots on target4.7
2.2Big chances2.7
18.2Touches in the opposition box19.1
432Passes336
79%Pass accuracy73%
3.3Corners4.9
49%Field tilt25%
39.7Final-third entries26.9
10.9Box entries9.5
18.3Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.631.53
Ahead250.841.58
Behind211.251.44

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.451.49
Ahead301.211.70
Behind151.091.70

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.141–1
16–300.250.183–1
31–450.260.291–2
46–600.330.282–4
61–750.130.201–1
76–900.200.433–2

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.151–0
16–300.330.162–1
31–450.200.363–3
46–600.200.173–2
61–750.190.361–1
76–900.330.403–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 9Smith 6Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 3Diabate 8Foulds 1Alić 7Foulds 2McAlear 8Stanton 1Holt 9Stanton 5Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 3Paton 2Gullan 2Steven 4Paton 3Gullan 2Fowler 8Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 9D. Wright 8Halliday 1Astley 9O. Bevan 9Odutayo 5Samuels 4J. Bevan 7Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 3Hamilton 9Forrest 4Reilly 4Moorhouse 1Fink 5Hay 2Forrest 1Westley 7Murray 24-4-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 September 2026Dundee FC1–1St. JohnstonexG 2.07–1.08
18 May 2025St. Johnstone0–2Dundee FCxG 0.53–1.48
1 March 2025Dundee FC1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.59–0.59
5 January 2025St. Johnstone1–3Dundee FCxG 2.00–1.49
26 October 2024Dundee FC1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.43–2.17
30 March 2024St. Johnstone1–2Dundee FCxG 1.28–1.03

12 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Dundee FC won 5, and 5 were drawn. Goals 13–17 and xG 1.23–1.31 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler8603610.570.05
Paton5452100.420.05
Alić7630110.070.18
Stanton7627010.090.05

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
Forrest6531010.080.11
J. Bevan7587110.120.05
D. Wright8727110.020.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.