Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Kilmarnock v St. Johnstone

Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 · The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park · Round 12

Forecast

KilmarnockSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.531.16
Win45%28%
Expected Points1.621.11
Clean sheet31%22%

Kilmarnock 45%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

St. Johnstone goalsKilmarnock goals0123456+0123456+7%7%5%2%7%3%8%5%2%4%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Kilmarnock

  1. W3–217 OctMotherwell (H)xG 1.64–3.37
  2. L1–310 OctRangers (A)xG 1.15–1.42
  3. D1–119 SepHearts (H)xG 0.39–1.92
  4. W1–015 SepHibernian (A)xG 2.21–1.45
  5. D0–05 SepAberdeen (A)xG 1.11–1.08
  6. L0–12 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.41–0.85

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–117 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–1.02
  2. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  3. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  4. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  5. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  6. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

KilmarnockSt. Johnstone
Position11th5th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠53–⁠3–⁠3
Points8 (0.89 per game)12 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game0.771.21
Goals10–⁠2011–⁠11
xG per game1.10–⁠2.341.32–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 0.91–⁠3.011.60, 1.45–⁠1.33
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.35–⁠1.491.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerNeil McCann (25)Simo Valakari (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackKilmarnock1.17, 8thSt. Johnstone1.08, 12thDefence (lower is better)Kilmarnock1.62, 12thSt. Johnstone1.52, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctKilmarnock attack: 1.17St. Johnstone attack: 1.081.171.08St. JohnstoneKilmarnockDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctKilmarnock defence: 1.62St. Johnstone defence: 1.521.621.52

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

KilmarnockSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+53%−26%average
Counter-attacks−69%+102%−50%−11%
Set pieces−25%+31%−18%+1%
Penalties−100%−43%+71%−43%
Headers−44%+116%−17%+29%
Left side−14%+49%−14%+7%
Centre−33%+101%−18%−10%
Right side−20%−15%−58%+5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−14%+5%Centre−33%−10%Right side−20%+7%Open play−15%averageCounter-attacks−69%−11%Set pieces−25%+1%Headers−44%+29%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdKilmarnock concededLeft side−14%−15%Centre−18%+101%Right side−58%+49%Open play−26%+53%Counter-attacks−50%+102%Set pieces−18%+31%Headers−17%+116%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

KilmarnockSt. Johnstone

1.10xG1.32
2.34xG against1.52
43%Possession46%
10.9Shots10.0
18.2Shots against14.0
4.2Shots on target3.6
2.0Big chances2.2
21.6Touches in the opposition box18.2
393Passes432
77%Pass accuracy79%
4.7Corners3.3
39%Field tilt49%
36.9Final-third entries39.7
10.5Box entries10.9
16.5Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Kilmarnock

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.082.19
Ahead191.332.28
Behind401.022.47

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.631.53
Ahead250.841.58
Behind211.251.44

xG by period

Kilmarnock

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.281–4
16–300.090.501–3
31–450.180.412–5
46–600.240.424–3
61–750.200.251–2
76–900.200.471–3

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.141–1
16–300.250.183–1
31–450.260.291–2
46–600.330.282–4
61–750.130.201–1
76–900.200.433–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Kilmarnock

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 6Ferrie 3Ring 3Brandon 3Kamara 2McCarthy 6Schilte-Brown 1Stanger 8Yfeko 2Deas 1Schjønning-L… 9Schjønning-LarsenTshibola 4O'Hara 2Lowery 8Rice 3Ring 1Ring 4Kiltie 2McCarthy 1John-Jules 4Kiltie 3Lowery 1Hugill 4Kiltie 4Cleșcenco 1Hugill 4John-Jules 4Daniëls 14-2-3-1 in 2 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 9Smith 6Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 3Diabate 8Foulds 1Alić 7Foulds 2McAlear 8Stanton 1Holt 9Stanton 5Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 3Paton 2Gullan 2Steven 4Paton 3Gullan 2Fowler 8Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 August 2026St. Johnstone4–3KilmarnockxG 2.03–0.92
3 May 2025St. Johnstone0–2KilmarnockxG 1.43–1.39
15 February 2025Kilmarnock3–1St. JohnstonexG 1.40–0.67
23 November 2024St. Johnstone1–0KilmarnockxG 1.02–0.45
11 August 2024Kilmarnock0–3St. JohnstonexG 1.74–1.79
13 April 2024St. Johnstone0–2KilmarnockxG 1.22–3.51

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Kilmarnock won 5, St. Johnstone won 9, and 1 was a draw. Goals 19–22 and xG 1.27–1.27 per game.

Key players

Kilmarnock

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kiltie9776300.350.18
John-Jules8560100.250.12
Hugill9810110.240.04
Ring8623000.070.18

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler8603610.570.05
Paton5452100.420.05
Alić7630110.070.18
Stanton7627010.090.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.