Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Mirren v Dundee FC

Saturday 3 April 2027, 15:00 · The Marbill Coaches Stadium · Round 32

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee FC
Expected goals1.431.12
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.581.15
Clean sheet33%24%

St. Mirren 43%Draw 28%Dundee FC 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

Dundee FC

  1. D2–217 OctRangers (H)xG 1.77–1.80
  2. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  3. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  4. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  5. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  6. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee FC
Position8th4th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠54–⁠2–⁠3
Points10 (1.11 per game)14 (1.56 per game)
Expected Points per game1.091.21
Goals9–⁠1713–⁠10
xG per game1.43–⁠2.011.31–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.86–⁠2.101.60, 1.62–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 1.08–⁠1.941.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerCraig McLeish (18)Steven Pressley (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.08, 11thDundee FC1.13, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.49, 9thDundee FC1.53, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Mirren attack: 1.08Dundee FC attack: 1.131.131.08Dundee FCSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Mirren defence: 1.49Dundee FC defence: 1.531.531.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%+1%−30%+16%
Counter-attacks+67%+29%−25%−63%
Set pieces−37%+16%+28%−19%
Penalties+14%+186%−43%+14%
Headers−54%−13%+39%+3%
Left side−17%average+14%+18%
Centre−10%−20%−22%−25%
Right side−17%+62%−37%+15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededLeft side−17%+15%Centre−10%−25%Right side−17%+18%Open play−22%+16%Counter-attacks+67%−63%Set pieces−37%−19%Headers−54%+3%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+14%+62%Centre−22%−20%Right side−37%averageOpen play−30%+1%Counter-attacks−25%+29%Set pieces+28%+16%Headers+39%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee FC

1.43xG1.31
2.01xG against1.60
50%Possession38%
13.4Shots12.3
15.4Shots against19.1
3.9Shots on target4.7
2.1Big chances2.7
25.7Touches in the opposition box19.1
448Passes336
81%Pass accuracy73%
4.4Corners4.9
47%Field tilt25%
39.2Final-third entries26.9
14.2Box entries9.5
14.0Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.451.49
Ahead301.211.70
Behind151.091.70

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.151–0
16–300.330.162–1
31–450.200.363–3
46–600.200.173–2
61–750.190.361–1
76–900.330.403–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 9D. Wright 8Halliday 1Astley 9O. Bevan 9Odutayo 5Samuels 4J. Bevan 7Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 3Hamilton 9Forrest 4Reilly 4Moorhouse 1Fink 5Hay 2Forrest 1Westley 7Murray 24-4-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 May 2026Dundee FC1–0St. MirrenxG 0.46–0.51
31 January 2026St. Mirren0–0Dundee FCxG 1.04–0.78
29 November 2025Dundee FC3–1St. MirrenxG 0.68–1.39
27 September 2025St. Mirren1–0Dundee FCxG 0.74–0.62
5 April 2025Dundee FC2–0St. MirrenxG 0.65–2.35
29 December 2024St. Mirren1–2Dundee FCxG 1.02–1.00

15 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 6, Dundee FC won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 17–19 and xG 1.25–1.01 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
Forrest6531010.080.11
J. Bevan7587110.120.05
D. Wright8727110.020.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.