Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee United v Falkirk

Saturday 3 April 2027, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 32

Forecast

Dundee UnitedFalkirk
Expected goals1.551.12
Win47%27%
Expected Points1.661.07
Clean sheet33%21%

Dundee United 47%Draw 27%Falkirk 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Falkirk goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%2%7%3%8%5%2%4%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D1–117 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.02–1.29
  2. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  3. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  4. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  5. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  6. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13

Falkirk

  1. W2–117 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.74–1.35
  2. L1–210 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–1.41
  3. D1–119 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.29–0.94
  4. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  5. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  6. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedFalkirk
Position6th9th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠32–⁠3–⁠4
Points12 (1.33 per game)9 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.450.98
Goals11–⁠129–⁠12
xG per game1.55–⁠1.441.12–⁠1.78
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.79–⁠1.230.75, 1.42–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game1.40, 1.36–⁠1.601.20, 0.88–⁠1.93
ManagerJim Goodwin (97)John McGlynn (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee United1.24, 6thFalkirk1.18, 7thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.43, 6thFalkirk1.44, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 1.24Falkirk attack: 1.181.241.18FalkirkDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.43Falkirk defence: 1.441.441.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedFalkirk
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+6%−9%+29%
Counter-attacks+56%−64%−84%−28%
Set pieces+53%−13%−53%+32%
Penalties−43%−43%−43%−100%
Headers−5%−36%−61%−44%
Left side−26%+9%−48%+11%
Centre−2%−4%−34%+15%
Right side+34%−28%average+43%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdFalkirk concededLeft side−26%+43%Centre−2%+15%Right side+34%+11%Open play−30%+29%Counter-attacks+56%−28%Set pieces+53%+32%Headers−5%−44%

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdDundee United concededLeft side−48%−28%Centre−34%−4%Right sideaverage+9%Open play−9%+6%Counter-attacks−84%−64%Set pieces−53%−13%Headers−61%−36%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedFalkirk

1.55xG1.12
1.44xG against1.78
51%Possession46%
15.9Shots11.4
14.9Shots against16.0
5.6Shots on target3.3
2.2Big chances1.4
30.0Touches in the opposition box23.2
421Passes396
79%Pass accuracy76%
6.3Corners4.3
46%Field tilt49%
39.0Final-third entries38.5
14.0Box entries9.8
12.2Passes per defensive action12.6

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level251.891.30
Ahead261.741.14
Behind391.201.72

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.431.47
Ahead281.091.92
Behind240.652.12

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.343–3
16–300.140.210–2
31–450.440.215–1
46–600.190.300–3
61–750.240.210–3
76–900.310.163–0

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.153–3
16–300.080.410–2
31–450.260.363–1
46–600.110.211–1
61–750.210.312–0
76–900.290.340–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 9Rawlins 8Yoro 1Esselink 9Forbes 9Ferry 5Ciubotaru 4Camará 4Sevelj 3Yoro 2Tait 7Agyei 4Cameron 4Iqbal 3Randall 4Merghem 4Bennie 1Metsoko 4Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 2Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 9Strain 9Neilson 7Meļņiks 2Henderson 9McCann 7Tanser 2Barbrook 8McMillan 1Spencer 7Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 6Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 7Yeats 2Eames 5Ross 2Fodrey 1Murrell 6Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 September 2026Dundee United1–1FalkirkxG 2.66–1.27
14 February 2026Falkirk2–3Dundee UnitedxG 0.94–1.09
22 November 2025Dundee United0–3FalkirkxG 0.74–1.78
3 August 2025Falkirk2–2Dundee UnitedxG 2.02–1.19

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Falkirk won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–8 and xG 1.42–1.50 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall6596230.310.33
Bennie7503110.440.09
Tait7673000.080.15
Forbes9810100.110.04

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murrell6470400.600.03
Strain9810040.070.16
Barbrook8675000.110.09
Ross8647110.090.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.