Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee United v Motherwell

Saturday 7 November 2026, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 13

Forecast

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Expected goals1.411.27
Win40%33%
Expected Points1.461.27
Clean sheet28%24%

Dundee United 40%Draw 27%Motherwell 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 55%.

Motherwell goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%8%6%2%9%8%3%1%7%9%6%2%3%4%3%1%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D1–117 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.02–1.29
  2. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  3. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  4. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  5. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  6. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13

Motherwell

  1. L2–317 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 3.37–1.64
  2. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  3. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  4. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  5. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  6. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Position6th10th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠32–⁠2–⁠5
Points12 (1.33 per game)8 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game1.451.40
Goals11–⁠1211–⁠16
xG per game1.55–⁠1.441.71–⁠1.85
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.79–⁠1.231.00, 1.40–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game1.40, 1.36–⁠1.600.80, 1.96–⁠2.43
ManagerJim Goodwin (97)Alfred Johansson (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee United1.24, 6thMotherwell1.33, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.43, 6thMotherwell1.32, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 1.24Motherwell attack: 1.331.331.24MotherwellDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.43Motherwell defence: 1.321.431.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+6%+23%+3%
Counter-attacks+56%−64%+12%+74%
Set pieces+53%−13%−48%−11%
Penalties−43%−43%+14%+71%
Headers−5%−36%−41%−13%
Left side−26%+9%−39%−14%
Centre−2%−4%+9%+1%
Right side+34%−28%+49%+40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdMotherwell concededLeft side−26%+40%Centre−2%+1%Right side+34%−14%Open play−30%+3%Counter-attacks+56%+74%Set pieces+53%−11%Headers−5%−13%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee United concededLeft side−39%−28%Centre+9%−4%Right side+49%+9%Open play+23%+6%Counter-attacks+12%−64%Set pieces−48%−13%Headers−41%−36%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedMotherwell

1.55xG1.71
1.44xG against1.85
51%Possession57%
15.9Shots14.2
14.9Shots against16.3
5.6Shots on target4.7
2.2Big chances2.6
30.0Touches in the opposition box24.9
421Passes561
79%Pass accuracy87%
6.3Corners4.9
46%Field tilt59%
39.0Final-third entries50.8
14.0Box entries14.1
12.2Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level251.891.30
Ahead261.741.14
Behind391.201.72

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level352.001.50
Ahead152.331.42
Behind401.232.32

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.343–3
16–300.140.210–2
31–450.440.215–1
46–600.190.300–3
61–750.240.210–3
76–900.310.163–0

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.211–3
16–300.420.303–1
31–450.280.252–5
46–600.270.441–4
61–750.240.292–1
76–900.200.362–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 9Rawlins 8Yoro 1Esselink 9Forbes 9Ferry 5Ciubotaru 4Camará 4Sevelj 3Yoro 2Tait 7Agyei 4Cameron 4Iqbal 3Randall 4Merghem 4Bennie 1Metsoko 4Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 2Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 9Sparrow 9Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 2Moormann 9Longelo 8Williams 1Fadinger 9Priestman 2Hodge 6Levitt 1Maswanhise 5Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 5Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 5Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 3Maswanhise 2Said 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 September 2026Motherwell3–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.39–0.16
28 February 2026Motherwell2–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.12–0.31
13 December 2025Dundee United0–0MotherwellxG 0.49–0.68
29 October 2025Motherwell2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.08–0.48
22 February 2025Dundee United1–0MotherwellxG 1.25–1.09
14 December 2024Motherwell4–3Dundee UnitedxG 2.09–2.02

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 6, Motherwell won 9, and 4 were drawn. Goals 19–25 and xG 0.99–1.58 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall6596230.310.33
Bennie7503110.440.09
Tait7673000.080.15
Forbes9810100.110.04

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise7581120.530.15
Lowry7602310.300.23
Longelo9746000.070.28
Said6533100.160.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.