Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Aberdeen v St. Johnstone

Saturday 27 February 2027, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 29

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.511.03
Win48%25%
Expected Points1.701.03
Clean sheet36%22%

Aberdeen 48%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%2%2%2%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W3–117 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.83–1.03
  2. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  3. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  4. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  5. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  6. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–117 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–1.02
  2. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  3. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  4. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  5. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  6. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Position7th5th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠43–⁠3–⁠3
Points11 (1.22 per game)12 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.21
Goals10–⁠1011–⁠11
xG per game1.24–⁠1.551.32–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game1.40, 1.63–⁠1.431.60, 1.45–⁠1.33
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.75–⁠1.691.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerStephen Robinson (18)Simo Valakari (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.15, 9thSt. Johnstone1.08, 12thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44, 7thSt. Johnstone1.52, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen attack: 1.15St. Johnstone attack: 1.081.151.08St. JohnstoneAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen defence: 1.44St. Johnstone defence: 1.521.521.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−43%−16%−26%average
Counter-attacks−68%+11%−50%−11%
Set pieces+42%−14%−18%+1%
Penalties+14%+71%+71%−43%
Headers+49%−31%−17%+29%
Left side−57%+2%−14%+7%
Centre−18%−39%−18%−10%
Right side−10%+19%−58%+5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−57%+5%Centre−18%−10%Right side−10%+7%Open play−43%averageCounter-attacks−68%−11%Set pieces+42%+1%Headers+49%+29%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−14%+19%Centre−18%−39%Right side−58%+2%Open play−26%−16%Counter-attacks−50%+11%Set pieces−18%−14%Headers−17%−31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.24xG1.32
1.55xG against1.52
46%Possession46%
12.1Shots10.0
15.6Shots against14.0
3.3Shots on target3.6
1.8Big chances2.2
21.9Touches in the opposition box18.2
385Passes432
77%Pass accuracy79%
5.7Corners3.3
42%Field tilt49%
38.6Final-third entries39.7
12.5Box entries10.9
14.0Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.391.54
Ahead191.071.41
Behind341.171.64

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.631.53
Ahead250.841.58
Behind211.251.44

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.191–3
16–300.110.261–0
31–450.120.371–4
46–600.300.152–1
61–750.150.311–2
76–900.520.264–0

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.141–1
16–300.250.183–1
31–450.260.291–2
46–600.330.282–4
61–750.130.201–1
76–900.200.433–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 9Cadden 8Lyons 1Mayo 7Milne 2Knoester 5Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 8Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Lyons 2Aremu 8Briedl 2Marshall 3Smith 2Yogane 1Olusanya 3Mouloua 2Ntelo 1Nisbet 9Yogane 35-3-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 9Smith 6Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 3Diabate 8Foulds 1Alić 7Foulds 2McAlear 8Stanton 1Holt 9Stanton 5Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 3Paton 2Gullan 2Steven 4Paton 3Gullan 2Fowler 8Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 October 2026Aberdeen0–1St. JohnstonexG 1.23–1.10
15 March 2025St. Johnstone0–0AberdeenxG 0.64–0.58
7 December 2024Aberdeen1–1St. JohnstonexG 0.70–1.35
5 August 2024St. Johnstone1–2AberdeenxG 0.81–1.79
4 May 2024Aberdeen1–0St. JohnstonexG 3.34–0.99
28 February 2024Aberdeen0–2St. JohnstonexG 2.17–1.69

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 9, St. Johnstone won 4, and 6 were drawn. Goals 15–10 and xG 1.20–0.79 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet9722510.590.03
Armstrong3456000.030.23
Mayo7561010.220.00
Olusanya6572000.100.05

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler8603610.570.05
Paton5452100.420.05
Alić7630110.070.18
Stanton7627010.090.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.