Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC v St. Mirren

Saturday 26 December 2026, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 20

Forecast

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.451.10
Win45%28%
Expected Points1.611.11
Clean sheet33%23%

Dundee FC 45%Draw 27%St. Mirren 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D2–217 OctRangers (H)xG 1.77–1.80
  2. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  3. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  4. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  5. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  6. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
Position4th8th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠2–⁠33–⁠1–⁠5
Points14 (1.56 per game)10 (1.11 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.09
Goals13–⁠109–⁠17
xG per game1.31–⁠1.601.43–⁠2.01
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.62–⁠1.411.00, 1.86–⁠2.10
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.841.20, 1.08–⁠1.94
ManagerSteven Pressley (47)Craig McLeish (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.13, 10thSt. Mirren1.08, 11thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.53, 11thSt. Mirren1.49, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.13St. Mirren attack: 1.081.131.08St. MirrenDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.53St. Mirren defence: 1.491.531.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+16%−22%+1%
Counter-attacks−25%−63%+67%+29%
Set pieces+28%−19%−37%+16%
Penalties−43%+14%+14%+186%
Headers+39%+3%−54%−13%
Left side+14%+18%−17%average
Centre−22%−25%−10%−20%
Right side−37%+15%−17%+62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+14%+62%Centre−22%−20%Right side−37%averageOpen play−30%+1%Counter-attacks−25%+29%Set pieces+28%+16%Headers+39%−13%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededLeft side−17%+15%Centre−10%−25%Right side−17%+18%Open play−22%+16%Counter-attacks+67%−63%Set pieces−37%−19%Headers−54%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

1.31xG1.43
1.60xG against2.01
38%Possession50%
12.3Shots13.4
19.1Shots against15.4
4.7Shots on target3.9
2.7Big chances2.1
19.1Touches in the opposition box25.7
336Passes448
73%Pass accuracy81%
4.9Corners4.4
25%Field tilt47%
26.9Final-third entries39.2
9.5Box entries14.2
19.6Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.451.49
Ahead301.211.70
Behind151.091.70

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.151–0
16–300.330.162–1
31–450.200.363–3
46–600.200.173–2
61–750.190.361–1
76–900.330.403–3

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 9D. Wright 8Halliday 1Astley 9O. Bevan 9Odutayo 5Samuels 4J. Bevan 7Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 3Hamilton 9Forrest 4Reilly 4Moorhouse 1Fink 5Hay 2Forrest 1Westley 7Murray 24-4-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 May 2026Dundee FC1–0St. MirrenxG 0.46–0.51
31 January 2026St. Mirren0–0Dundee FCxG 1.04–0.78
29 November 2025Dundee FC3–1St. MirrenxG 0.68–1.39
27 September 2025St. Mirren1–0Dundee FCxG 0.74–0.62
5 April 2025Dundee FC2–0St. MirrenxG 0.65–2.35
29 December 2024St. Mirren1–2Dundee FCxG 1.02–1.00

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 6, St. Mirren won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 19–17 and xG 1.01–1.25 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
Forrest6531010.080.11
J. Bevan7587110.120.05
D. Wright8727110.020.12

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.