Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Mirren v Dundee United

Saturday 20 March 2027, 15:00 · The Marbill Coaches Stadium · Round 31

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee United
Expected goals1.341.23
Win39%34%
Expected Points1.441.29
Clean sheet29%26%

St. Mirren 39%Draw 28%Dundee United 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%2%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

Dundee United

  1. D1–117 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.02–1.29
  2. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  3. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  4. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  5. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  6. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee United
Position8th6th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠53–⁠3–⁠3
Points10 (1.11 per game)12 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.091.45
Goals9–⁠1711–⁠12
xG per game1.43–⁠2.011.55–⁠1.44
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.86–⁠2.101.25, 1.79–⁠1.23
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 1.08–⁠1.941.40, 1.36–⁠1.60
ManagerCraig McLeish (18)Jim Goodwin (97)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.08, 11thDundee United1.24, 6thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.49, 9thDundee United1.43, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Mirren attack: 1.08Dundee United attack: 1.241.241.08Dundee UnitedSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Mirren defence: 1.49Dundee United defence: 1.431.491.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%+1%−30%+6%
Counter-attacks+67%+29%+56%−64%
Set pieces−37%+16%+53%−13%
Penalties+14%+186%−43%−43%
Headers−54%−13%−5%−36%
Left side−17%average−26%+9%
Centre−10%−20%−2%−4%
Right side−17%+62%+34%−28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−17%−28%Centre−10%−4%Right side−17%+9%Open play−22%+6%Counter-attacks+67%−64%Set pieces−37%−13%Headers−54%−36%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−26%+62%Centre−2%−20%Right side+34%averageOpen play−30%+1%Counter-attacks+56%+29%Set pieces+53%+16%Headers−5%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee United

1.43xG1.55
2.01xG against1.44
50%Possession51%
13.4Shots15.9
15.4Shots against14.9
3.9Shots on target5.6
2.1Big chances2.2
25.7Touches in the opposition box30.0
448Passes421
81%Pass accuracy79%
4.4Corners6.3
47%Field tilt46%
39.2Final-third entries39.0
14.2Box entries14.0
14.0Passes per defensive action12.2

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level251.891.30
Ahead261.741.14
Behind391.201.72

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.343–3
16–300.140.210–2
31–450.440.215–1
46–600.190.300–3
61–750.240.210–3
76–900.310.163–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 9Rawlins 8Yoro 1Esselink 9Forbes 9Ferry 5Ciubotaru 4Camará 4Sevelj 3Yoro 2Tait 7Agyei 4Cameron 4Iqbal 3Randall 4Merghem 4Bennie 1Metsoko 4Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 2Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026St. Mirren0–3Dundee UnitedxG 0.99–1.60
17 May 2026St. Mirren1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.02–0.50
3 March 2026Dundee United2–1St. MirrenxG 1.69–1.11
6 December 2025St. Mirren2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.24–1.01
25 October 2025Dundee United3–1St. MirrenxG 2.21–2.28
10 May 2025Dundee United0–2St. MirrenxG 1.47–2.18

19 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 6, Dundee United won 8, and 5 were drawn. Goals 22–21 and xG 1.39–1.36 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall6596230.310.33
Bennie7503110.440.09
Tait7673000.080.15
Forbes9810100.110.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.