Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone v Hibernian

Saturday 20 March 2027, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 31

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Expected goals1.181.33
Win32%39%
Expected Points1.261.46
Clean sheet26%31%

St. Johnstone 32%Draw 28%Hibernian 39%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–117 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–1.02
  2. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  3. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  4. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  5. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  6. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07

Hibernian

  1. L1–217 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.35–0.74
  2. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  3. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  4. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  5. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  6. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Position5th12th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠32–⁠1–⁠6
Points12 (1.33 per game)7 (0.78 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.38
Goals11–⁠119–⁠14
xG per game1.32–⁠1.521.56–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.45–⁠1.330.20, 1.52–⁠1.34
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠1.771.50, 1.60–⁠1.81
ManagerSimo Valakari (40)Marink Reedijk (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.08, 12thHibernian1.32, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.52, 10thHibernian1.28, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 1.08Hibernian attack: 1.321.321.08HibernianSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.52Hibernian defence: 1.281.521.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−26%average−15%−2%
Counter-attacks−50%−11%−22%−8%
Set pieces−18%+1%+5%−15%
Penalties+71%−43%+71%+14%
Headers−17%+29%−42%+2%
Left side−14%+7%−12%−3%
Centre−18%−10%−26%+6%
Right side−58%+5%+16%−28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−14%−28%Centre−18%+6%Right side−58%−3%Open play−26%−2%Counter-attacks−50%−8%Set pieces−18%−15%Headers−17%+2%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−12%+5%Centre−26%−10%Right side+16%+7%Open play−15%averageCounter-attacks−22%−11%Set pieces+5%+1%Headers−42%+29%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHibernian

1.32xG1.56
1.52xG against1.55
46%Possession53%
10.0Shots16.4
14.0Shots against13.0
3.6Shots on target4.2
2.2Big chances2.0
18.2Touches in the opposition box31.3
432Passes459
79%Pass accuracy81%
3.3Corners6.8
49%Field tilt55%
39.7Final-third entries44.7
10.9Box entries15.0
18.3Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.631.53
Ahead250.841.58
Behind211.251.44

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.081.72
Ahead151.552.02
Behind431.911.25

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.141–1
16–300.250.183–1
31–450.260.291–2
46–600.330.282–4
61–750.130.201–1
76–900.200.433–2

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.091–2
16–300.180.202–2
31–450.280.411–6
46–600.290.282–0
61–750.280.162–1
76–900.370.401–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 9Smith 6Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 3Diabate 8Foulds 1Alić 7Foulds 2McAlear 8Stanton 1Holt 9Stanton 5Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 3Paton 2Gullan 2Steven 4Paton 3Gullan 2Fowler 8Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 9Kerr 9Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Ivezić 2Obita 4Iredale 2Abdulai 1Passlack 6Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 9Chaiwa 6Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 6Wright 1Iredale 1Elding 3Boyle 3Šuto 1Lowe 4Boyle 2Šuto 2Klidje 4McGrath 2Boyle 13-4-3 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 September 2026St. Johnstone2–1HibernianxG 2.32–1.61
29 March 2025Hibernian3–0St. JohnstonexG 2.12–0.02
2 January 2025St. Johnstone1–1HibernianxG 0.96–2.27
14 September 2024Hibernian2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.61–0.25
27 April 2024St. Johnstone1–3HibernianxG 0.82–1.76
6 April 2024Hibernian1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.95–0.62

19 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 6, Hibernian won 9, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–26 and xG 0.64–1.46 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler8603610.570.05
Paton5452100.420.05
Alić7630110.070.18
Stanton7627010.090.05

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle6505300.550.20
Passlack8734020.070.26
Mayor6539100.060.15
Mulligan9795010.130.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.