Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC v Motherwell

Saturday 20 March 2027, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 31

Forecast

Dundee FCMotherwell
Expected goals1.291.36
Win35%38%
Expected Points1.311.41
Clean sheet26%28%

Dundee FC 35%Draw 27%Motherwell 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Motherwell goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%9%7%3%1%8%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D2–217 OctRangers (H)xG 1.77–1.80
  2. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  3. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  4. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  5. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  6. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33

Motherwell

  1. L2–317 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 3.37–1.64
  2. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  3. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  4. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  5. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  6. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCMotherwell
Position4th10th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠2–⁠32–⁠2–⁠5
Points14 (1.56 per game)8 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.40
Goals13–⁠1011–⁠16
xG per game1.31–⁠1.601.71–⁠1.85
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.62–⁠1.411.00, 1.40–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.840.80, 1.96–⁠2.43
ManagerSteven Pressley (47)Alfred Johansson (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.13, 10thMotherwell1.33, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.53, 11thMotherwell1.32, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.13Motherwell attack: 1.331.331.13MotherwellDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.53Motherwell defence: 1.321.531.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+16%+23%+3%
Counter-attacks−25%−63%+12%+74%
Set pieces+28%−19%−48%−11%
Penalties−43%+14%+14%+71%
Headers+39%+3%−41%−13%
Left side+14%+18%−39%−14%
Centre−22%−25%+9%+1%
Right side−37%+15%+49%+40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdMotherwell concededLeft side+14%+40%Centre−22%+1%Right side−37%−14%Open play−30%+3%Counter-attacks−25%+74%Set pieces+28%−11%Headers+39%−13%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee FC concededLeft side−39%+15%Centre+9%−25%Right side+49%+18%Open play+23%+16%Counter-attacks+12%−63%Set pieces−48%−19%Headers−41%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCMotherwell

1.31xG1.71
1.60xG against1.85
38%Possession57%
12.3Shots14.2
19.1Shots against16.3
4.7Shots on target4.7
2.7Big chances2.6
19.1Touches in the opposition box24.9
336Passes561
73%Pass accuracy87%
4.9Corners4.9
25%Field tilt59%
26.9Final-third entries50.8
9.5Box entries14.1
19.6Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.451.49
Ahead301.211.70
Behind151.091.70

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level352.001.50
Ahead152.331.42
Behind401.232.32

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.151–0
16–300.330.162–1
31–450.200.363–3
46–600.200.173–2
61–750.190.361–1
76–900.330.403–3

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.211–3
16–300.420.303–1
31–450.280.252–5
46–600.270.441–4
61–750.240.292–1
76–900.200.362–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 9D. Wright 8Halliday 1Astley 9O. Bevan 9Odutayo 5Samuels 4J. Bevan 7Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 3Hamilton 9Forrest 4Reilly 4Moorhouse 1Fink 5Hay 2Forrest 1Westley 7Murray 24-4-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 9Sparrow 9Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 2Moormann 9Longelo 8Williams 1Fadinger 9Priestman 2Hodge 6Levitt 1Maswanhise 5Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 5Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 5Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 3Maswanhise 2Said 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026Dundee FC2–1MotherwellxG 1.38–1.10
7 March 2026Dundee FC2–1MotherwellxG 1.47–1.85
20 December 2025Motherwell1–0Dundee FCxG 1.23–0.23
13 September 2025Dundee FC1–1MotherwellxG 0.82–2.28
3 May 2025Dundee FC1–2MotherwellxG 0.78–3.15
26 February 2025Motherwell2–1Dundee FCxG 1.10–1.42

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 5, Motherwell won 5, and 4 were drawn. Goals 22–18 and xG 1.06–1.37 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
Forrest6531010.080.11
J. Bevan7587110.120.05
D. Wright8727110.020.12

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise7581120.530.15
Lowry7602310.300.23
Longelo9746000.070.28
Said6533100.160.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.