Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v St. Mirren

Saturday 20 February 2027, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 28

Forecast

RangersSt. Mirren
Expected goals2.440.72
Win75%9%
Expected Points2.410.42
Clean sheet49%9%

Rangers 75%Draw 16%St. Mirren 9%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%8%3%3%7%3%6%5%2%3%2%2%1%10%13%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersSt. Mirren
Position2nd8th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠2–⁠13–⁠1–⁠5
Points20 (2.22 per game)10 (1.11 per game)
Expected Points per game1.981.09
Goals13–⁠79–⁠17
xG per game2.13–⁠1.101.43–⁠2.01
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.201.00, 1.86–⁠2.10
Away: points, xG per game2.20, 1.75–⁠1.031.20, 1.08–⁠1.94
ManagerDerek McInnes (9)Craig McLeish (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.90, 2ndSt. Mirren1.08, 11thDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.00, 2ndSt. Mirren1.49, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.90St. Mirren attack: 1.081.901.08St. MirrenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 1.00St. Mirren defence: 1.491.491.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+41%−42%−22%+1%
Counter-attacks+8%+3%+67%+29%
Set pieces+29%−16%−37%+16%
Penalties+14%−43%+14%+186%
Headers+26%−26%−54%−13%
Left side+14%−22%−17%average
Centre+56%−28%−10%−20%
Right side+18%−41%−17%+62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+14%+62%Centre+56%−20%Right side+18%averageOpen play+41%+1%Counter-attacks+8%+29%Set pieces+29%+16%Headers+26%−13%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side−17%−41%Centre−10%−28%Right side−17%−22%Open play−22%−42%Counter-attacks+67%+3%Set pieces−37%−16%Headers−54%−26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersSt. Mirren

2.13xG1.43
1.10xG against2.01
55%Possession50%
20.2Shots13.4
9.6Shots against15.4
6.6Shots on target3.9
2.8Big chances2.1
38.4Touches in the opposition box25.7
452Passes448
80%Pass accuracy81%
7.2Corners4.4
60%Field tilt47%
47.5Final-third entries39.2
18.6Box entries14.2
11.4Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 September 2026Rangers1–0St. MirrenxG 2.49–1.26
15 March 2026St. Mirren0–1RangersxG 0.19–2.08
30 December 2025Rangers2–1St. MirrenxG 1.89–1.71
24 August 2025St. Mirren1–1RangersxG 1.01–1.56
26 April 2025St. Mirren2–2RangersxG 1.90–1.27
22 February 2025Rangers0–2St. MirrenxG 0.81–1.49

22 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 17, St. Mirren won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 47–14 and xG 1.95–0.68 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.