Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v Kilmarnock

Wednesday 3 February 2027, 19:45 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 26

Forecast

RangersKilmarnock
Expected goals2.650.77
Win77%8%
Expected Points2.460.39
Clean sheet46%7%

Rangers 77%Draw 15%Kilmarnock 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 50%.

Kilmarnock goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%2%1%7%3%3%8%3%7%5%2%4%3%1%2%2%8%11%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

Kilmarnock

  1. W3–217 OctMotherwell (H)xG 1.64–3.37
  2. L1–310 OctRangers (A)xG 1.15–1.42
  3. D1–119 SepHearts (H)xG 0.39–1.92
  4. W1–015 SepHibernian (A)xG 2.21–1.45
  5. D0–05 SepAberdeen (A)xG 1.11–1.08
  6. L0–12 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.41–0.85

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersKilmarnock
Position2nd11th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠2–⁠12–⁠2–⁠5
Points20 (2.22 per game)8 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game1.980.77
Goals13–⁠710–⁠20
xG per game2.13–⁠1.101.10–⁠2.34
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.200.80, 0.91–⁠3.01
Away: points, xG per game2.20, 1.75–⁠1.031.00, 1.35–⁠1.49
ManagerDerek McInnes (9)Neil McCann (25)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.90, 2ndKilmarnock1.17, 8thDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.00, 2ndKilmarnock1.62, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.90Kilmarnock attack: 1.171.901.17KilmarnockRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 1.00Kilmarnock defence: 1.621.621.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersKilmarnock
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+41%−42%−15%+53%
Counter-attacks+8%+3%−69%+102%
Set pieces+29%−16%−25%+31%
Penalties+14%−43%−100%−43%
Headers+26%−26%−44%+116%
Left side+14%−22%−14%+49%
Centre+56%−28%−33%+101%
Right side+18%−41%−20%−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+14%−15%Centre+56%+101%Right side+18%+49%Open play+41%+53%Counter-attacks+8%+102%Set pieces+29%+31%Headers+26%+116%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdRangers concededLeft side−14%−41%Centre−33%−28%Right side−20%−22%Open play−15%−42%Counter-attacks−69%+3%Set pieces−25%−16%Headers−44%−26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersKilmarnock

2.13xG1.10
1.10xG against2.34
55%Possession43%
20.2Shots10.9
9.6Shots against18.2
6.6Shots on target4.2
2.8Big chances2.0
38.4Touches in the opposition box21.6
452Passes393
80%Pass accuracy77%
7.2Corners4.7
60%Field tilt39%
47.5Final-third entries36.9
18.6Box entries10.5
11.4Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

Kilmarnock

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.082.19
Ahead191.332.28
Behind401.022.47

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

Kilmarnock

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.281–4
16–300.090.501–3
31–450.180.412–5
46–600.240.424–3
61–750.200.251–2
76–900.200.471–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Kilmarnock

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 6Ferrie 3Ring 3Brandon 3Kamara 2McCarthy 6Schilte-Brown 1Stanger 8Yfeko 2Deas 1Schjønning-L… 9Schjønning-LarsenTshibola 4O'Hara 2Lowery 8Rice 3Ring 1Ring 4Kiltie 2McCarthy 1John-Jules 4Kiltie 3Lowery 1Hugill 4Kiltie 4Cleșcenco 1Hugill 4John-Jules 4Daniëls 14-2-3-1 in 2 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 October 2026Rangers3–1KilmarnockxG 1.42–1.15
4 February 2026Rangers5–1KilmarnockxG 3.14–1.39
6 December 2025Kilmarnock0–3RangersxG 0.66–0.75
26 October 2025Rangers3–1KilmarnockxG 1.36–1.04
26 February 2025Kilmarnock2–4RangersxG 1.38–1.95
4 December 2024Rangers6–0KilmarnockxG 4.60–0.09

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 15, Kilmarnock won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 45–13 and xG 2.21–0.75 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

Kilmarnock

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kiltie9776300.350.18
John-Jules8560100.250.12
Hugill9810110.240.04
Ring8623000.070.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.