Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC v Aberdeen

Saturday 23 January 2027, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 24

Forecast

Dundee FCAberdeen
Expected goals1.411.17
Win42%31%
Expected Points1.531.20
Clean sheet31%24%

Dundee FC 42%Draw 28%Aberdeen 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D2–217 OctRangers (H)xG 1.77–1.80
  2. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  3. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  4. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  5. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  6. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33

Aberdeen

  1. W3–117 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.83–1.03
  2. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  3. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  4. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  5. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  6. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCAberdeen
Position4th7th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠2–⁠33–⁠2–⁠4
Points14 (1.56 per game)11 (1.22 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.15
Goals13–⁠1010–⁠10
xG per game1.31–⁠1.601.24–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.62–⁠1.411.40, 1.63–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.841.00, 0.75–⁠1.69
ManagerSteven Pressley (47)Stephen Robinson (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.13, 10thAberdeen1.15, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.53, 11thAberdeen1.44, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.13Aberdeen attack: 1.151.151.13AberdeenDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.53Aberdeen defence: 1.441.531.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+16%−43%−16%
Counter-attacks−25%−63%−68%+11%
Set pieces+28%−19%+42%−14%
Penalties−43%+14%+14%+71%
Headers+39%+3%+49%−31%
Left side+14%+18%−57%+2%
Centre−22%−25%−18%−39%
Right side−37%+15%−10%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdAberdeen concededLeft side+14%+19%Centre−22%−39%Right side−37%+2%Open play−30%−16%Counter-attacks−25%+11%Set pieces+28%−14%Headers+39%−31%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee FC concededLeft side−57%+15%Centre−18%−25%Right side−10%+18%Open play−43%+16%Counter-attacks−68%−63%Set pieces+42%−19%Headers+49%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCAberdeen

1.31xG1.24
1.60xG against1.55
38%Possession46%
12.3Shots12.1
19.1Shots against15.6
4.7Shots on target3.3
2.7Big chances1.8
19.1Touches in the opposition box21.9
336Passes385
73%Pass accuracy77%
4.9Corners5.7
25%Field tilt42%
26.9Final-third entries38.6
9.5Box entries12.5
19.6Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.451.49
Ahead301.211.70
Behind151.091.70

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.391.54
Ahead191.071.41
Behind341.171.64

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.151–0
16–300.330.162–1
31–450.200.363–3
46–600.200.173–2
61–750.190.361–1
76–900.330.403–3

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.191–3
16–300.110.261–0
31–450.120.371–4
46–600.300.152–1
61–750.150.311–2
76–900.520.264–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 9D. Wright 8Halliday 1Astley 9O. Bevan 9Odutayo 5Samuels 4J. Bevan 7Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 3Hamilton 9Forrest 4Reilly 4Moorhouse 1Fink 5Hay 2Forrest 1Westley 7Murray 24-4-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3)

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 9Cadden 8Lyons 1Mayo 7Milne 2Knoester 5Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 8Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Lyons 2Aremu 8Briedl 2Marshall 3Smith 2Yogane 1Olusanya 3Mouloua 2Ntelo 1Nisbet 9Yogane 35-3-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 August 2026Dundee FC2–0AberdeenxG 1.83–0.72
17 May 2026Dundee FC3–2AberdeenxG 1.99–1.12
21 February 2026Aberdeen2–3Dundee FCxG 0.46–3.99
6 December 2025Dundee FC1–3AberdeenxG 1.12–1.38
5 October 2025Aberdeen4–0Dundee FCxG 2.80–0.31
15 February 2025Dundee FC1–2AberdeenxG 1.81–1.80

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 5, Aberdeen won 7, and 3 were drawn. Goals 19–26 and xG 1.38–1.22 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
Forrest6531010.080.11
J. Bevan7587110.120.05
D. Wright8727110.020.12

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet9722510.590.03
Armstrong3456000.030.23
Mayo7561010.220.00
Olusanya6572000.100.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.