Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v Dundee FC

Wednesday 30 December 2026, 19:45 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 21

Forecast

RangersDundee FC
Expected goals2.510.75
Win75%9%
Expected Points2.420.42
Clean sheet47%8%

Rangers 75%Draw 16%Dundee FC 9%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Dundee FC goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%3%1%8%3%3%8%3%6%5%2%3%2%2%2%9%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

Dundee FC

  1. D2–217 OctRangers (H)xG 1.77–1.80
  2. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  3. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  4. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  5. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  6. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersDundee FC
Position2nd4th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠2–⁠14–⁠2–⁠3
Points20 (2.22 per game)14 (1.56 per game)
Expected Points per game1.981.21
Goals13–⁠713–⁠10
xG per game2.13–⁠1.101.31–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.201.60, 1.62–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game2.20, 1.75–⁠1.031.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerDerek McInnes (9)Steven Pressley (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.90, 2ndDundee FC1.13, 10thDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.00, 2ndDundee FC1.53, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.90Dundee FC attack: 1.131.901.13Dundee FCRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 1.00Dundee FC defence: 1.531.531.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+41%−42%−30%+16%
Counter-attacks+8%+3%−25%−63%
Set pieces+29%−16%+28%−19%
Penalties+14%−43%−43%+14%
Headers+26%−26%+39%+3%
Left side+14%−22%+14%+18%
Centre+56%−28%−22%−25%
Right side+18%−41%−37%+15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdDundee FC concededLeft side+14%+15%Centre+56%−25%Right side+18%+18%Open play+41%+16%Counter-attacks+8%−63%Set pieces+29%−19%Headers+26%+3%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRangers concededLeft side+14%−41%Centre−22%−28%Right side−37%−22%Open play−30%−42%Counter-attacks−25%+3%Set pieces+28%−16%Headers+39%−26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersDundee FC

2.13xG1.31
1.10xG against1.60
55%Possession38%
20.2Shots12.3
9.6Shots against19.1
6.6Shots on target4.7
2.8Big chances2.7
38.4Touches in the opposition box19.1
452Passes336
80%Pass accuracy73%
7.2Corners4.9
60%Field tilt25%
47.5Final-third entries26.9
18.6Box entries9.5
11.4Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.451.49
Ahead301.211.70
Behind151.091.70

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.151–0
16–300.330.162–1
31–450.200.363–3
46–600.200.173–2
61–750.190.361–1
76–900.330.403–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 9D. Wright 8Halliday 1Astley 9O. Bevan 9Odutayo 5Samuels 4J. Bevan 7Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 3Hamilton 9Forrest 4Reilly 4Moorhouse 1Fink 5Hay 2Forrest 1Westley 7Murray 24-4-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
17 October 2026Dundee FC2–2RangersxG 1.77–1.80
25 January 2026Rangers3–0Dundee FCxG 2.51–0.24
9 November 2025Dundee FC0–3RangersxG 0.43–0.85
9 August 2025Rangers1–1Dundee FCxG 1.97–0.34
29 March 2025Dundee FC3–4RangersxG 2.97–2.70
9 January 2025Dundee FC1–1RangersxG 1.02–0.65

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 10, Dundee FC won 0, and 4 were drawn. Goals 34–11 and xG 2.41–0.94 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
Forrest6531010.080.11
J. Bevan7587110.120.05
D. Wright8727110.020.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.