Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Motherwell v Dundee FC

Saturday 19 December 2026, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 19

Forecast

MotherwellDundee FC
Expected goals1.760.99
Win55%21%
Expected Points1.890.86
Clean sheet37%17%

Motherwell 55%Draw 25%Dundee FC 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%6%6%3%3%3%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L2–317 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 3.37–1.64
  2. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  3. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  4. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  5. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  6. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16

Dundee FC

  1. D2–217 OctRangers (H)xG 1.77–1.80
  2. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  3. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  4. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  5. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  6. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellDundee FC
Position10th4th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠54–⁠2–⁠3
Points8 (0.89 per game)14 (1.56 per game)
Expected Points per game1.401.21
Goals11–⁠1613–⁠10
xG per game1.71–⁠1.851.31–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.40–⁠1.111.60, 1.62–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 1.96–⁠2.431.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerAlfred Johansson (9)Steven Pressley (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackMotherwell1.33, 4thDundee FC1.13, 10thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.32, 5thDundee FC1.53, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctMotherwell attack: 1.33Dundee FC attack: 1.131.331.13Dundee FCMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctMotherwell defence: 1.32Dundee FC defence: 1.531.531.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+23%+3%−30%+16%
Counter-attacks+12%+74%−25%−63%
Set pieces−48%−11%+28%−19%
Penalties+14%+71%−43%+14%
Headers−41%−13%+39%+3%
Left side−39%−14%+14%+18%
Centre+9%+1%−22%−25%
Right side+49%+40%−37%+15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee FC concededLeft side−39%+15%Centre+9%−25%Right side+49%+18%Open play+23%+16%Counter-attacks+12%−63%Set pieces−48%−19%Headers−41%+3%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdMotherwell concededLeft side+14%+40%Centre−22%+1%Right side−37%−14%Open play−30%+3%Counter-attacks−25%+74%Set pieces+28%−11%Headers+39%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellDundee FC

1.71xG1.31
1.85xG against1.60
57%Possession38%
14.2Shots12.3
16.3Shots against19.1
4.7Shots on target4.7
2.6Big chances2.7
24.9Touches in the opposition box19.1
561Passes336
87%Pass accuracy73%
4.9Corners4.9
59%Field tilt25%
50.8Final-third entries26.9
14.1Box entries9.5
14.8Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level352.001.50
Ahead152.331.42
Behind401.232.32

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.451.49
Ahead301.211.70
Behind151.091.70

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.211–3
16–300.420.303–1
31–450.280.252–5
46–600.270.441–4
61–750.240.292–1
76–900.200.362–2

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.151–0
16–300.330.162–1
31–450.200.363–3
46–600.200.173–2
61–750.190.361–1
76–900.330.403–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 9Sparrow 9Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 2Moormann 9Longelo 8Williams 1Fadinger 9Priestman 2Hodge 6Levitt 1Maswanhise 5Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 5Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 5Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 3Maswanhise 2Said 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 9D. Wright 8Halliday 1Astley 9O. Bevan 9Odutayo 5Samuels 4J. Bevan 7Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 3Hamilton 9Forrest 4Reilly 4Moorhouse 1Fink 5Hay 2Forrest 1Westley 7Murray 24-4-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026Dundee FC2–1MotherwellxG 1.38–1.10
7 March 2026Dundee FC2–1MotherwellxG 1.47–1.85
20 December 2025Motherwell1–0Dundee FCxG 1.23–0.23
13 September 2025Dundee FC1–1MotherwellxG 0.82–2.28
3 May 2025Dundee FC1–2MotherwellxG 0.78–3.15
26 February 2025Motherwell2–1Dundee FCxG 1.10–1.42

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 5, Dundee FC won 5, and 4 were drawn. Goals 18–22 and xG 1.37–1.06 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise7581120.530.15
Lowry7602310.300.23
Longelo9746000.070.28
Said6533100.160.18

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
Forrest6531010.080.11
J. Bevan7587110.120.05
D. Wright8727110.020.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.