Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v St. Johnstone

Saturday 19 December 2026, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 19

Forecast

HibernianSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.720.91
Win56%19%
Expected Points1.930.82
Clean sheet40%18%

Hibernian 56%Draw 25%St. Johnstone 19%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Johnstone goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%5%2%4%1%6%6%3%3%2%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L1–217 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.35–0.74
  2. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  3. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  4. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  5. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  6. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–117 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.29–1.02
  2. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  3. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  4. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  5. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  6. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianSt. Johnstone
Position12th5th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠63–⁠3–⁠3
Points7 (0.78 per game)12 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.381.21
Goals9–⁠1411–⁠11
xG per game1.56–⁠1.551.32–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game0.20, 1.52–⁠1.341.60, 1.45–⁠1.33
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.811.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerMarink Reedijk (2)Simo Valakari (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.32, 5thSt. Johnstone1.08, 12thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.28, 4thSt. Johnstone1.52, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32St. Johnstone attack: 1.081.321.08St. JohnstoneHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.28St. Johnstone defence: 1.521.521.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%−2%−26%average
Counter-attacks−22%−8%−50%−11%
Set pieces+5%−15%−18%+1%
Penalties+71%+14%+71%−43%
Headers−42%+2%−17%+29%
Left side−12%−3%−14%+7%
Centre−26%+6%−18%−10%
Right side+16%−28%−58%+5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−12%+5%Centre−26%−10%Right side+16%+7%Open play−15%averageCounter-attacks−22%−11%Set pieces+5%+1%Headers−42%+29%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−14%−28%Centre−18%+6%Right side−58%−3%Open play−26%−2%Counter-attacks−50%−8%Set pieces−18%−15%Headers−17%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.56xG1.32
1.55xG against1.52
53%Possession46%
16.4Shots10.0
13.0Shots against14.0
4.2Shots on target3.6
2.0Big chances2.2
31.3Touches in the opposition box18.2
459Passes432
81%Pass accuracy79%
6.8Corners3.3
55%Field tilt49%
44.7Final-third entries39.7
15.0Box entries10.9
14.7Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.081.72
Ahead151.552.02
Behind431.911.25

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.631.53
Ahead250.841.58
Behind211.251.44

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.091–2
16–300.180.202–2
31–450.280.411–6
46–600.290.282–0
61–750.280.162–1
76–900.370.401–3

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.141–1
16–300.250.183–1
31–450.260.291–2
46–600.330.282–4
61–750.130.201–1
76–900.200.433–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 9Kerr 9Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Ivezić 2Obita 4Iredale 2Abdulai 1Passlack 6Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 9Chaiwa 6Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 6Wright 1Iredale 1Elding 3Boyle 3Šuto 1Lowe 4Boyle 2Šuto 2Klidje 4McGrath 2Boyle 13-4-3 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 9Smith 6Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 3Diabate 8Foulds 1Alić 7Foulds 2McAlear 8Stanton 1Holt 9Stanton 5Campbell 2Steven 1Cotterill 3Paton 2Gullan 2Steven 4Paton 3Gullan 2Fowler 8Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 September 2026St. Johnstone2–1HibernianxG 2.32–1.61
29 March 2025Hibernian3–0St. JohnstonexG 2.12–0.02
2 January 2025St. Johnstone1–1HibernianxG 0.96–2.27
14 September 2024Hibernian2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.61–0.25
27 April 2024St. Johnstone1–3HibernianxG 0.82–1.76
6 April 2024Hibernian1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.95–0.62

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 9, St. Johnstone won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 26–15 and xG 1.46–0.64 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle6505300.550.20
Passlack8734020.070.26
Mayor6539100.060.15
Mulligan9795010.130.08

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler8603610.570.05
Paton5452100.420.05
Alić7630110.070.18
Stanton7627010.090.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.