Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee United v St. Mirren

Saturday 12 December 2026, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 18

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.601.03
Win50%24%
Expected Points1.760.98
Clean sheet36%20%

Dundee United 50%Draw 26%St. Mirren 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D1–117 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.02–1.29
  2. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  3. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  4. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  5. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  6. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13

St. Mirren

  1. L1–317 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–2.83
  2. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  3. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  4. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  5. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  6. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Position6th8th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠33–⁠1–⁠5
Points12 (1.33 per game)10 (1.11 per game)
Expected Points per game1.451.09
Goals11–⁠129–⁠17
xG per game1.55–⁠1.441.43–⁠2.01
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.79–⁠1.231.00, 1.86–⁠2.10
Away: points, xG per game1.40, 1.36–⁠1.601.20, 1.08–⁠1.94
ManagerJim Goodwin (97)Craig McLeish (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee United1.24, 6thSt. Mirren1.08, 11thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.43, 6thSt. Mirren1.49, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 1.24St. Mirren attack: 1.081.241.08St. MirrenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.43St. Mirren defence: 1.491.491.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+6%−22%+1%
Counter-attacks+56%−64%+67%+29%
Set pieces+53%−13%−37%+16%
Penalties−43%−43%+14%+186%
Headers−5%−36%−54%−13%
Left side−26%+9%−17%average
Centre−2%−4%−10%−20%
Right side+34%−28%−17%+62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−26%+62%Centre−2%−20%Right side+34%averageOpen play−30%+1%Counter-attacks+56%+29%Set pieces+53%+16%Headers−5%−13%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−17%−28%Centre−10%−4%Right side−17%+9%Open play−22%+6%Counter-attacks+67%−64%Set pieces−37%−13%Headers−54%−36%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.55xG1.43
1.44xG against2.01
51%Possession50%
15.9Shots13.4
14.9Shots against15.4
5.6Shots on target3.9
2.2Big chances2.1
30.0Touches in the opposition box25.7
421Passes448
79%Pass accuracy81%
6.3Corners4.4
46%Field tilt47%
39.0Final-third entries39.2
14.0Box entries14.2
12.2Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level251.891.30
Ahead261.741.14
Behind391.201.72

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level291.612.69
Ahead281.401.23
Behind321.282.09

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.343–3
16–300.140.210–2
31–450.440.215–1
46–600.190.300–3
61–750.240.210–3
76–900.310.163–0

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.372–4
16–300.240.211–2
31–450.240.314–2
46–600.150.600–4
61–750.340.181–2
76–900.370.341–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 9Rawlins 8Yoro 1Esselink 9Forbes 9Ferry 5Ciubotaru 4Camará 4Sevelj 3Yoro 2Tait 7Agyei 4Cameron 4Iqbal 3Randall 4Merghem 4Bennie 1Metsoko 4Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 2Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 9Ramsay 7Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 8Fraser 2Jackson 1Fieldson 7John 8Sule 1Carr 9Nsio 5Phillips 2Taylor 2Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Nsio 1Thomas 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Phillips 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026St. Mirren0–3Dundee UnitedxG 0.99–1.60
17 May 2026St. Mirren1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.02–0.50
3 March 2026Dundee United2–1St. MirrenxG 1.69–1.11
6 December 2025St. Mirren2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.24–1.01
25 October 2025Dundee United3–1St. MirrenxG 2.21–2.28
10 May 2025Dundee United0–2St. MirrenxG 1.47–2.18

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 8, St. Mirren won 6, and 5 were drawn. Goals 21–22 and xG 1.36–1.39 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall6596230.310.33
Bennie7503110.440.09
Tait7673000.080.15
Forbes9810100.110.04

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7565000.140.10
Kabia7550000.100.13
John8720100.070.13
Mochrie7474000.070.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.