Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v Aberdeen

Saturday 13 February 2027, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 27

Forecast

HibernianAberdeen
Expected goals1.630.98
Win52%22%
Expected Points1.820.92
Clean sheet38%20%

Hibernian 52%Draw 26%Aberdeen 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

Aberdeen goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L1–217 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.35–0.74
  2. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  3. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  4. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  5. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  6. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86

Aberdeen

  1. W3–117 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.83–1.03
  2. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  3. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  4. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  5. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  6. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianAberdeen
Position12th7th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠63–⁠2–⁠4
Points7 (0.78 per game)11 (1.22 per game)
Expected Points per game1.381.15
Goals9–⁠1410–⁠10
xG per game1.56–⁠1.551.24–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game0.20, 1.52–⁠1.341.40, 1.63–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.811.00, 0.75–⁠1.69
ManagerMarink Reedijk (2)Stephen Robinson (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.32, 5thAberdeen1.15, 9thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.28, 4thAberdeen1.44, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32Aberdeen attack: 1.151.321.15AberdeenHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.28Aberdeen defence: 1.441.441.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%−2%−43%−16%
Counter-attacks−22%−8%−68%+11%
Set pieces+5%−15%+42%−14%
Penalties+71%+14%+14%+71%
Headers−42%+2%+49%−31%
Left side−12%−3%−57%+2%
Centre−26%+6%−18%−39%
Right side+16%−28%−10%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side−12%+19%Centre−26%−39%Right side+16%+2%Open play−15%−16%Counter-attacks−22%+11%Set pieces+5%−14%Headers−42%−31%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side−57%−28%Centre−18%+6%Right side−10%−3%Open play−43%−2%Counter-attacks−68%−8%Set pieces+42%−15%Headers+49%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianAberdeen

1.56xG1.24
1.55xG against1.55
53%Possession46%
16.4Shots12.1
13.0Shots against15.6
4.2Shots on target3.3
2.0Big chances1.8
31.3Touches in the opposition box21.9
459Passes385
81%Pass accuracy77%
6.8Corners5.7
55%Field tilt42%
44.7Final-third entries38.6
15.0Box entries12.5
14.7Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.081.72
Ahead151.552.02
Behind431.911.25

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.391.54
Ahead191.071.41
Behind341.171.64

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.091–2
16–300.180.202–2
31–450.280.411–6
46–600.290.282–0
61–750.280.162–1
76–900.370.401–3

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.191–3
16–300.110.261–0
31–450.120.371–4
46–600.300.152–1
61–750.150.311–2
76–900.520.264–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 9Kerr 9Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Ivezić 2Obita 4Iredale 2Abdulai 1Passlack 6Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 9Chaiwa 6Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 6Wright 1Iredale 1Elding 3Boyle 3Šuto 1Lowe 4Boyle 2Šuto 2Klidje 4McGrath 2Boyle 13-4-3 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 9Cadden 8Lyons 1Mayo 7Milne 2Knoester 5Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 8Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Lyons 2Aremu 8Briedl 2Marshall 3Smith 2Yogane 1Olusanya 3Mouloua 2Ntelo 1Nisbet 9Yogane 35-3-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026Hibernian1–1AberdeenxG 1.40–0.70
11 April 2026Aberdeen2–0HibernianxG 1.93–0.10
30 December 2025Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.64–0.57
26 October 2025Aberdeen1–2HibernianxG 1.24–3.20
26 April 2025Aberdeen1–0HibernianxG 0.83–0.93
1 February 2025Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.60–0.48

24 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 11, Aberdeen won 8, and 5 were drawn. Goals 35–28 and xG 1.41–1.28 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle6505300.550.20
Passlack8734020.070.26
Mayor6539100.060.15
Mulligan9795010.130.08

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet9722510.590.03
Armstrong3456000.030.23
Mayo7561010.220.00
Olusanya6572000.100.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.