Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v Motherwell

Saturday 9 January 2027, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 23

Forecast

HibernianMotherwell
Expected goals1.491.13
Win45%28%
Expected Points1.621.11
Clean sheet32%23%

Hibernian 45%Draw 27%Motherwell 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Motherwell goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L1–217 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.35–0.74
  2. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  3. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  4. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  5. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  6. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86

Motherwell

  1. L2–317 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 3.37–1.64
  2. L0–211 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.10–2.85
  3. L1–219 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.10–1.38
  4. L0–415 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.85–0.90
  5. L0–15 SepRangers (A)xG 0.70–4.29
  6. W3–02 SepDundee United (H)xG 2.39–0.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianMotherwell
Position12th10th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠62–⁠2–⁠5
Points7 (0.78 per game)8 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game1.381.40
Goals9–⁠1411–⁠16
xG per game1.56–⁠1.551.71–⁠1.85
Home: points, xG per game0.20, 1.52–⁠1.341.00, 1.40–⁠1.11
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.810.80, 1.96–⁠2.43
ManagerMarink Reedijk (2)Alfred Johansson (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.32, 5thMotherwell1.33, 4thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.28, 4thMotherwell1.32, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32Motherwell attack: 1.331.331.32MotherwellHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.28Motherwell defence: 1.321.321.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%−2%+23%+3%
Counter-attacks−22%−8%+12%+74%
Set pieces+5%−15%−48%−11%
Penalties+71%+14%+14%+71%
Headers−42%+2%−41%−13%
Left side−12%−3%−39%−14%
Centre−26%+6%+9%+1%
Right side+16%−28%+49%+40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdMotherwell concededLeft side−12%+40%Centre−26%+1%Right side+16%−14%Open play−15%+3%Counter-attacks−22%+74%Set pieces+5%−11%Headers−42%−13%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHibernian concededLeft side−39%−28%Centre+9%+6%Right side+49%−3%Open play+23%−2%Counter-attacks+12%−8%Set pieces−48%−15%Headers−41%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianMotherwell

1.56xG1.71
1.55xG against1.85
53%Possession57%
16.4Shots14.2
13.0Shots against16.3
4.2Shots on target4.7
2.0Big chances2.6
31.3Touches in the opposition box24.9
459Passes561
81%Pass accuracy87%
6.8Corners4.9
55%Field tilt59%
44.7Final-third entries50.8
15.0Box entries14.1
14.7Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.081.72
Ahead151.552.02
Behind431.911.25

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level352.001.50
Ahead152.331.42
Behind401.232.32

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.091–2
16–300.180.202–2
31–450.280.411–6
46–600.290.282–0
61–750.280.162–1
76–900.370.401–3

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.211–3
16–300.420.303–1
31–450.280.252–5
46–600.270.441–4
61–750.240.292–1
76–900.200.362–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 9Kerr 9Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Ivezić 2Obita 4Iredale 2Abdulai 1Passlack 6Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 9Chaiwa 6Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 6Wright 1Iredale 1Elding 3Boyle 3Šuto 1Lowe 4Boyle 2Šuto 2Klidje 4McGrath 2Boyle 13-4-3 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 9Sparrow 9Girdwood-Rei… 4Girdwood-ReichKnight-Lebel 3O'Donnell 2Moormann 9Longelo 8Williams 1Fadinger 9Priestman 2Hodge 6Levitt 1Maswanhise 5Vogt 3Kanga 1Lowry 5Charles-Cook 3Booth 1Said 5Longelo 1Houlden 1Houlden 3Maswanhise 2Said 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 August 2026Hibernian1–2MotherwellxG 1.94–2.19
16 May 2026Hibernian0–1MotherwellxG 0.76–1.16
21 March 2026Motherwell0–0HibernianxG 0.44–0.60
10 January 2026Hibernian1–1MotherwellxG 1.31–1.03
25 November 2025Motherwell2–0HibernianxG 2.14–0.77
11 January 2025Hibernian3–1MotherwellxG 2.22–0.22

21 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 7, Motherwell won 7, and 7 were drawn. Goals 28–24 and xG 1.39–1.11 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle6505300.550.20
Passlack8734020.070.26
Mayor6539100.060.15
Mulligan9795010.130.08

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise7581120.530.15
Lowry7602310.300.23
Longelo9746000.070.28
Said6533100.160.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.