Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v Rangers

Monday 7 December 2026, 20:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 17

Forecast

HibernianRangers
Expected goals1.131.61
Win26%48%
Expected Points1.041.70
Clean sheet20%32%

Hibernian 26%Draw 26%Rangers 48%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 55%.

Rangers goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%8%4%2%7%5%2%4%7%5%3%1%2%2%2%1%10%12%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L1–217 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.35–0.74
  2. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  3. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  4. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  5. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  6. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianRangers
Position12th2nd
Played99
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠66–⁠2–⁠1
Points7 (0.78 per game)20 (2.22 per game)
Expected Points per game1.381.98
Goals9–⁠1413–⁠7
xG per game1.56–⁠1.552.13–⁠1.10
Home: points, xG per game0.20, 1.52–⁠1.342.25, 2.60–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.812.20, 1.75–⁠1.03
ManagerMarink Reedijk (2)Derek McInnes (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.32, 5thRangers1.90, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.28, 4thRangers1.00, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32Rangers attack: 1.901.901.32RangersHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.28Rangers defence: 1.001.281.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%−2%+41%−42%
Counter-attacks−22%−8%+8%+3%
Set pieces+5%−15%+29%−16%
Penalties+71%+14%+14%−43%
Headers−42%+2%+26%−26%
Left side−12%−3%+14%−22%
Centre−26%+6%+56%−28%
Right side+16%−28%+18%−41%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRangers concededLeft side−12%−41%Centre−26%−28%Right side+16%−22%Open play−15%−42%Counter-attacks−22%+3%Set pieces+5%−16%Headers−42%−26%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHibernian concededLeft side+14%−28%Centre+56%+6%Right side+18%−3%Open play+41%−2%Counter-attacks+8%−8%Set pieces+29%−15%Headers+26%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRangers

1.56xG2.13
1.55xG against1.10
53%Possession55%
16.4Shots20.2
13.0Shots against9.6
4.2Shots on target6.6
2.0Big chances2.8
31.3Touches in the opposition box38.4
459Passes452
81%Pass accuracy80%
6.8Corners7.2
55%Field tilt60%
44.7Final-third entries47.5
15.0Box entries18.6
14.7Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.081.72
Ahead151.552.02
Behind431.911.25

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.091–2
16–300.180.202–2
31–450.280.411–6
46–600.290.282–0
61–750.280.162–1
76–900.370.401–3

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 9Kerr 9Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Ivezić 2Obita 4Iredale 2Abdulai 1Passlack 6Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 9Chaiwa 6Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 6Wright 1Iredale 1Elding 3Boyle 3Šuto 1Lowe 4Boyle 2Šuto 2Klidje 4McGrath 2Boyle 13-4-3 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 August 2026Rangers1–2HibernianxG 2.20–1.68
13 May 2026Rangers1–2HibernianxG 1.75–1.60
1 February 2026Hibernian0–0RangersxG 1.88–0.58
15 December 2025Rangers1–0HibernianxG 1.84–0.55
29 October 2025Hibernian0–1RangersxG 2.01–0.52
17 May 2025Hibernian2–2RangersxG 1.29–2.62

23 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 3, Rangers won 15, and 5 were drawn. Goals 22–43 and xG 1.01–1.96 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle6505300.550.20
Passlack8734020.070.26
Mayor6539100.060.15
Mulligan9795010.130.08

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.