Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Aberdeen v Dundee United

Saturday 5 December 2026, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 17

Forecast

AberdeenDundee United
Expected goals1.421.19
Win42%31%
Expected Points1.531.20
Clean sheet30%24%

Aberdeen 42%Draw 27%Dundee United 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%7%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W3–117 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.83–1.03
  2. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  3. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  4. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  5. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  6. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67

Dundee United

  1. D1–117 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.02–1.29
  2. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  3. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  4. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  5. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  6. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenDundee United
Position7th6th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠43–⁠3–⁠3
Points11 (1.22 per game)12 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.45
Goals10–⁠1011–⁠12
xG per game1.24–⁠1.551.55–⁠1.44
Home: points, xG per game1.40, 1.63–⁠1.431.25, 1.79–⁠1.23
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.75–⁠1.691.40, 1.36–⁠1.60
ManagerStephen Robinson (18)Jim Goodwin (97)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.15, 9thDundee United1.24, 6thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44, 7thDundee United1.43, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen attack: 1.15Dundee United attack: 1.241.241.15Dundee UnitedAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen defence: 1.44Dundee United defence: 1.431.441.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−43%−16%−30%+6%
Counter-attacks−68%+11%+56%−64%
Set pieces+42%−14%+53%−13%
Penalties+14%+71%−43%−43%
Headers+49%−31%−5%−36%
Left side−57%+2%−26%+9%
Centre−18%−39%−2%−4%
Right side−10%+19%+34%−28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side−57%−28%Centre−18%−4%Right side−10%+9%Open play−43%+6%Counter-attacks−68%−64%Set pieces+42%−13%Headers+49%−36%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side−26%+19%Centre−2%−39%Right side+34%+2%Open play−30%−16%Counter-attacks+56%+11%Set pieces+53%−14%Headers−5%−31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenDundee United

1.24xG1.55
1.55xG against1.44
46%Possession51%
12.1Shots15.9
15.6Shots against14.9
3.3Shots on target5.6
1.8Big chances2.2
21.9Touches in the opposition box30.0
385Passes421
77%Pass accuracy79%
5.7Corners6.3
42%Field tilt46%
38.6Final-third entries39.0
12.5Box entries14.0
14.0Passes per defensive action12.2

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.391.54
Ahead191.071.41
Behind341.171.64

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level251.891.30
Ahead261.741.14
Behind391.201.72

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.191–3
16–300.110.261–0
31–450.120.371–4
46–600.300.152–1
61–750.150.311–2
76–900.520.264–0

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.343–3
16–300.140.210–2
31–450.440.215–1
46–600.190.300–3
61–750.240.210–3
76–900.310.163–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 9Cadden 8Lyons 1Mayo 7Milne 2Knoester 5Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 8Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Lyons 2Aremu 8Briedl 2Marshall 3Smith 2Yogane 1Olusanya 3Mouloua 2Ntelo 1Nisbet 9Yogane 35-3-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 9Rawlins 8Yoro 1Esselink 9Forbes 9Ferry 5Ciubotaru 4Camará 4Sevelj 3Yoro 2Tait 7Agyei 4Cameron 4Iqbal 3Randall 4Merghem 4Bennie 1Metsoko 4Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 2Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 May 2026Aberdeen2–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.17–0.79
24 February 2026Dundee United0–0AberdeenxG 1.02–1.45
27 December 2025Aberdeen1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.10–0.80
23 September 2025Dundee United2–0AberdeenxG 1.33–1.33
17 May 2025Dundee United2–1AberdeenxG 1.93–1.70
2 March 2025Aberdeen2–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.98–0.53

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 5, Dundee United won 6, and 6 were drawn. Goals 14–16 and xG 1.16–1.00 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet9722510.590.03
Armstrong3456000.030.23
Mayo7561010.220.00
Olusanya6572000.100.05

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall6596230.310.33
Bennie7503110.440.09
Tait7673000.080.15
Forbes9810100.110.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.