Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Aberdeen v Rangers

Saturday 30 January 2027, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 25

Forecast

AberdeenRangers
Expected goals0.991.81
Win20%56%
Expected Points0.831.93
Clean sheet16%37%

Aberdeen 20%Draw 24%Rangers 56%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 53%.

Rangers goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%5%6%3%1%3%5%5%3%1%1%2%2%1%10%10%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page. How the forecasts work.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W3–117 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.83–1.03
  2. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  3. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  4. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  5. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  6. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67

Rangers

  1. D2–217 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.77
  2. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  3. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  4. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  5. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  6. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenRangers
Position7th2nd
Played99
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠46–⁠2–⁠1
Points11 (1.22 per game)20 (2.22 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.98
Goals10–⁠1013–⁠7
xG per game1.24–⁠1.552.13–⁠1.10
Home: points, xG per game1.40, 1.63–⁠1.432.25, 2.60–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.75–⁠1.692.20, 1.75–⁠1.03
ManagerStephen Robinson (18)Derek McInnes (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.15, 9thRangers1.90, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44, 7thRangers1.00, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen attack: 1.15Rangers attack: 1.901.901.15RangersAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen defence: 1.44Rangers defence: 1.001.441.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−43%−16%+41%−42%
Counter-attacks−68%+11%+8%+3%
Set pieces+42%−14%+29%−16%
Penalties+14%+71%+14%−43%
Headers+49%−31%+26%−26%
Left side−57%+2%+14%−22%
Centre−18%−39%+56%−28%
Right side−10%+19%+18%−41%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRangers concededLeft side−57%−41%Centre−18%−28%Right side−10%−22%Open play−43%−42%Counter-attacks−68%+3%Set pieces+42%−16%Headers+49%−26%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdAberdeen concededLeft side+14%+19%Centre+56%−39%Right side+18%+2%Open play+41%−16%Counter-attacks+8%+11%Set pieces+29%−14%Headers+26%−31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenRangers

1.24xG2.13
1.55xG against1.10
46%Possession55%
12.1Shots20.2
15.6Shots against9.6
3.3Shots on target6.6
1.8Big chances2.8
21.9Touches in the opposition box38.4
385Passes452
77%Pass accuracy80%
5.7Corners7.2
42%Field tilt60%
38.6Final-third entries47.5
12.5Box entries18.6
14.0Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 8 and 8 of those matches.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.391.54
Ahead191.071.41
Behind341.171.64

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level472.071.41
Ahead321.950.74
Behind112.910.83

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.191–3
16–300.110.261–0
31–450.120.371–4
46–600.300.152–1
61–750.150.311–2
76–900.520.264–0

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.193–1
16–300.430.131–0
31–450.420.323–3
46–600.340.152–0
61–750.290.191–1
76–900.330.143–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 9Cadden 8Lyons 1Mayo 7Milne 2Knoester 5Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 8Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Lyons 2Aremu 8Briedl 2Marshall 3Smith 2Yogane 1Olusanya 3Mouloua 2Ntelo 1Nisbet 9Yogane 35-3-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 9Sterling 7Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 9Godfrey 1Makhanya 7Rommens 1Penrice 7Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 7Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 6Diomande 1Curtis 3Bouanani 2Kim 2Kim 4Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 8Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 3Naderi 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2026Aberdeen0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.10
21 March 2026Rangers4–1AberdeenxG 1.61–0.68
11 January 2026Aberdeen0–2RangersxG 0.32–1.94
6 January 2026Rangers2–0AberdeenxG 1.81–1.05
11 May 2025Rangers4–0AberdeenxG 2.60–0.57
13 April 2025Aberdeen2–2RangersxG 2.44–1.18

22 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 3, Rangers won 15, and 4 were drawn. Goals 19–46 and xG 0.93–2.06 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet9722510.590.03
Armstrong3456000.030.23
Mayo7561010.220.00
Olusanya6572000.100.05

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi5546410.650.15
Kim6487000.400.13
Gassama8646020.310.17
Raskin7595100.190.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.